Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 13

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Cerdanyola del Vallès

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.2	4.1
	1.8	3	5.5
	1.77	3.2	4.3
	1.81	3.02	5.16
	1.78	3.1	4.5
	1.79	3.24	4.45
	1.78	3.25	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.08)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	4.62 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
51.1%

Draw
29.1%

Cerdanyola del Vallès
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.3%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

28%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

Cerdanyola del Vallès has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cerdanyola del Vallès might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerdanyola del Vallès than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cerdanyola del Vallès could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navalcarnero - Cerdanyola del Vallès Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 6 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Navalcarnero is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.22	Montijo - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Navalcarnero - Coria	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Navalcarnero - UD Logroñés	1:3 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
06.11.22	Don Benito - Navalcarnero	2:4 ✺
30.10.22	Navalcarnero - Gimnástica Segoviana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWT
- Cerdanyola del Vallès FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
27.11.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Alcorcón B	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Leganés B - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:2 ✺
06.11.22	Montijo - Cerdanyola del Vallès	3:0 ✺
30.10.22	Cerdanyola del Vallès - Coria	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Don Benito - Cerdanyola del Vallès	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWLTW

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