Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Municipal Mariano Gonzalez (Navalcarnero)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Finland	Veikkaus TV
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Uruguay	Flow
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Navalcarnero		Getafe

	1	X	2
	7	4.5	1.39	Watch
	8.8	4.7	1.39
	8.39	4.34	1.4
	1.19	6.13	14.41	Watch
	7.5	4	1.4	Watch
	8.6	4.55	1.43	Watch
	9	4.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.21 ↓ (8.62)	4.63 ↓ (4.89)	3.25 ↑ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
20.9%

Draw
32.6%

Getafe
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.8%

19%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.1%

17.7%

75.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

Getafe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Getafe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Getafe than the current prediction. (+28.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Getafe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Navalcarnero - Getafe Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Getafe will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Getafe will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Calado A. (G) 20. Messo 6. de Souza R. (C) 5. Espinola A. 3. Juanmi 21. Perera I. 15. Cruz J. 14. Bueno J. 19. Aunon A. 9. Perez J. V. 11. Jimenez M.	1. Letacek J. (G) 43. Cordero A. 32. Laso L. 4. Neyou Y. 16. Rico D. 39. Tallal Y. 14. Javier Munoz 20. da Costa C. 7. Juanmi 37. Joselu 11. Kamara A.
Substitutes
24. Altube Suarez A. 12. Chahid W. 23. Dias J. 33. Esteban R. 4. Martinez M. G. 30. Moraga M. 10. Peque 8. Quivira I. 7. Rober 13. Simon D. (G) 22. Villar J.	18. Alex Sancris 8. Arambarri M. 2. Djene 22. Duarte D. 21. Iglesias J. 17. Kiko Femenia 23. Liso A. 6. Martin M. 9. Mayoral B. 5. Milla L. 41. Montes J. 12. Nyom A. 34. Solozabal H. 13. Soria D. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Bordalas Jimenez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Perera I. ⚽,
14', 2 - 0, Perez J. V. ⚽, Jimenez M. (A),
19', da Costa C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Juanmi ↓, Dias J. ↑,
46', Cordero A. ↓, Montes J. ↑,
57', Perez J. V. ↓, Altube Suarez A. ↑,
57', Perera I. ↓, Villar J. ↑,
62', Tallal Y. ↓, Solozabal H. ↑,
69', 2 - 1, Calado A. (Own goal),
72', Messo ↓, Rober ↑,
72', Kamara A. ↓, Alex Sancris ↑,
79', Neyou Y. ↓, Martin M. ↑,
79', Juanmi ↓, Mayoral B. ↑,
81', Jimenez M. ↓, Martinez M. G. ↑,
88', 2 - 2, Martin M. ⚽,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
98', Cruz J. ↓, Quivira I. ↑,
104', da Costa C. ↓, Liso A. ↑,
111', 2 - 3, Montes J. ⚽, Alex Sancris (A),
116', Rober 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Getafe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Getafe is the undisputed favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
23.11.25	Navalcarnero - Tenerife B	4:1 ✺
16.11.25	Fuenlabrada - Navalcarnero	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Navalcarnero - Socuéllamos	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	Intercity - Navalcarnero	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TWLWL
- Getafe CF
Spanish LaLiga
28.11.25	Getafe - Elche	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Getafe - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Mallorca - Getafe	1:0 ✺
31.10.25	Getafe - Girona	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Inter de Valdemoro - Getafe	0:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLWW

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