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Current Win Probability
Rayo Majadahonda 46.8%
Draw 30.8%
Navalcarnero 22.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.1%
28%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.8%
27.1%
19.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rayo Majadahonda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rayo Majadahonda's form might have worsened.
Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Majadahonda than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rayo Majadahonda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Rayo Majadahonda - Navalcarnero Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 1.
Rayo Majadahonda is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Navalcarnero has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Rayo Majadahonda is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rayo Majadahonda won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 0.9:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Rayo Majadahonda won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).
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