Match Info
Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 3Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday
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 |
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 |
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San Sebastian Reyes |
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Navalcarnero |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.91 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3 |
3.8 |
|
 |
1.98 |
3.09 |
4.12 |
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 |
2.11 |
3.10 |
3.50 |
 Watch |
 |
2.01 |
3.26 |
3.78 |
|
 |
1.92 |
3.1 |
3.9 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↓
(2.3) |
3.11 ↑
(3.03) |
3.78 ↑
(2.94) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
San Sebastian Reyes
46.4% | Draw
29.5% | Navalcarnero
24.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Sebastian Reyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Sebastian Reyes's performance.Navalcarnero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Navalcarnero might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Sebastian Reyes than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Sebastian Reyes that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Navalcarnero could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Navalcarnero (1.63) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Navalcarnero (votes: 3 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 25', 1 - 0, Harta F. ⚽,
- 33', 2 - 0, Garci (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 68', 3 - 0, Gonzalez M. ⚽,
- 90+4', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SS Reyes won 1.SS Reyes is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).Navalcarnero has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Navalcarnero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Navalcarnero has had a series of away games. SS Reyes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 12 head-to-head matches, SS Reyes won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.5:1).Including home matches between the teams, SS Reyes won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 1.3:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
San Sebastian Reyes - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.37%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5 | | | 04.05.25 | San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero | 2:0 | | 22.12.24 | Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes | 2:0 | | 31.03.24 | Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes | 1:1 | | 19.11.23 | San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero | 0:0 | | 20.01.21 | Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes | 1:1 | | 18.10.20 | San Sebastian Reyes - Navalcarnero | 0:1 | | Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1 | | | 19.05.19 | Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes | 2:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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