Match Info

Date: 10 October 2021, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Real Avilés

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.8	2.55
	2.8	2.95	2.5
	2.6	2.95	2.55
	2.69	3.08	2.72
	2.72	3.06	2.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (3.05)	2.97 ↓ (3.04)	2.58 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
33.8%

Draw
30.8%

Real Avilés
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

29.7%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

56%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Real Avilés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Avilés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Navalcarnero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Avilés than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Avilés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Navalcarnero - Real Avilés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Navalcarnero is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Avilés is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Real Avilés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	2:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.21	Palencia CA - Navalcarnero	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Unión Adarve - Navalcarnero	3:0 ✺
19.09.21	Navalcarnero - Coruxo	1:0 ✺
12.09.21	Gimnástica Segoviana - Navalcarnero	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWL
- Real Avilés
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Langreo - Real Avilés	0:1 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
03.10.21	Real Avilés - Unión Adarve	2:1 ✺
25.09.21	Coruxo - Real Avilés	0:0 ✺
19.09.21	Real Avilés - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:1 ✺
12.09.21	Llanera - Real Avilés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTTT

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