Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 9

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Navalcarnero		Villanovense

	1	X	2
	1.93	3	3.7
	1.87	3.2	4.33	Watch
	2.12	2.94	3.76
	1.95	3.09	4.13
	1.88	3.13	4
	1.94	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.22)	3.08 ↑ (2.88)	3.95 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Navalcarnero
47%

Draw
29.8%

Villanovense
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.5%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

30.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Navalcarnero's performance.

Villanovense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villanovense than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Navalcarnero - Villanovense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Villanovense could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Navalcarnero will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Navalcarnero won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Navalcarnero won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Navalcarnero - Badajoz	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	Numancia - Navalcarnero	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	Navalcarnero - Illescas	2:2 ✺
01.10.23	Atlético Paso - Navalcarnero	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Navalcarnero - Llerenense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTTW
- CF Villanovense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.10.23	Villanovense - Numancia	1:2 ✺
14.10.23	Illescas - Villanovense	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Villanovense - Atlético Paso	0:0 ✺
01.10.23	Llerenense - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
24.09.23	Villanovense - Montijo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
22.01.23	Villanovense - Navalcarnero	1:0
04.09.22	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	1:0
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	2:1 ET
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.04.21	Villanovense - Navalcarnero	2:1
04.04.21	Navalcarnero - Villanovense	0:2

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