Match Info

Date: 17 December 2021, Friday


	Naxxar Lions		Pembroke Athleta

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.95	3.5	2
	2.7	3.5	2.1
	3.57	3.63	1.86
	3.64	3.64	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↑ (2.78)	3.57 ↑ (3.53)	1.96 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
28.2%

Draw
25.4%

Pembroke Athleta
46.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.3%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

18.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Pembroke Athleta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pembroke Athleta than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pembroke Athleta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Now both teams are in good shape.

Pembroke will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Naxxar Lions won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Naxxar Lions won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Challenge League
13.12.21	Marsaxlokk - Naxxar Lions	3:0 ✺
03.12.21	Naxxar Lions - Rabat Ajax	1:0 ✺
21.11.21	Melita - Naxxar Lions	0:2 ✺
01.11.21	Naxxar Lions - Vittoriosa Stars	3:0 ✺
22.10.21	Zejtun Corinthians - Naxxar Lions	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWWWW
- Pembroke Athleta
Maltese Challenge League
12.12.21	Pembroke Athleta - San Ġwann	1:1 ✺
05.12.21	Lija Athletic - Pembroke Athleta	1:1 ✺
27.11.21	Pembroke Athleta - St. Georges	2:0 ✺
19.11.21	Mqabba - Pembroke Athleta	2:3 ✺
17.10.21	Rabat Ajax - Pembroke Athleta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
20.01.21	Naxxar Lions - Pembroke Athleta	0:3
23.11.18	Pembroke Athleta - Naxxar Lions	0:0
Maltese Premier League
08.04.16	Naxxar Lions - Pembroke Athleta	1:1
16.01.16	Pembroke Athleta - Naxxar Lions	2:0

Naxxar Lions - Pembroke Athleta: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide