Match Info

MALTA: Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 7

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Tony Bezzina Stadium (Paola)

Referee: Casha D. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Melita		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.45	3.1
	2.04	4.01	3.01
	2.05	3.74	2.99	Watch
	2.15	3.1	3.2
	2.09	3.34	3.11
	2.05	3.45	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.13)	3.52 ↓ (3.6)	3.09 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melita
44.2%

Draw
26.1%

Naxxar Lions
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.4%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.6%

30.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Naxxar Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melita than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (+1%)

Melita - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Lubik A. (G) 9. Andre Carlos 26. Bondin K. 11. Borg O. A. 77. Martinez S. 7. Mohnani K. 29. Motta H. (C) 27. Sanchez C. 3. Simanca A. 13. Van de Bovenkamp M. 19. Yepez J.	1. Debono M. (G) 15. Cassar R. (C) 10. Farias E. 25. Fernando Barbosa 19. Hernandez A. 18. Hugo Santos 20. Laton 23. Maicon Souza 3. Micallef N. 4. Sane B. 44. Yasukaze I.
Substitutes
17. Abela J. 8. Attard A. 18. Attard E. 6. Attard J. P. 25. Barone G. 5. Cachia M. 20. Cassar B. 10. Debattista M. 22. Gyamfi C. 1. Mizzi G. (G) 23. Testaferrata P. G.	9. Bolanos E. 28. Bonanno G. 17. Bonanno J. J. 29. Borg J. 30. Farrugia J. 12. Fenech A. (G) 21. Fenech M. 13. Haber K. 31. Ho-A-Tham Z. 33. Joao Moura 26. Micallef M.
Coaches
Mizzi C.	Vella G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
7', Motta H. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Hugo Santos ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Yepez J. ⚽,
45', 2 - 1, Yepez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
56', Hernandez A. ↓, Bolanos E. ↑,
58', 2 - 2, Bolanos E. ⚽,
62', 2 - 3, Farias E. ⚽,
63', Yepez J. ↓, Attard J. P. ↑,
66', 2 - 4, Hugo Santos ⚽,
73', Simanca A. ↓, Debattista M. ↑,
81', Hugo Santos ↓, Farrugia J. ↑,
81', Mohnani K. ↓, Gyamfi C. ↑,
81', Martinez S. ↓, Testaferrata P. G. ↑,
89', Bondin K. 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 5, Maicon Souza ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: ) and 12 in the zone Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Melita won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Melita could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Melita will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Melita won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10:13 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Melita won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melita FC
Maltese Premier League
16.02.25	Melita - Hamrun Spartans	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Melita - Sliema Wanderers	2:4 ✺
01.02.25	Gżira United - Melita	2:2 ✺
26.01.25	Birkirkara - Melita	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Melita - Floriana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 52.5 WLTTW
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Premier League
15.02.25	Naxxar Lions - Birkirkara	2:1 ✺
10.02.25	Naxxar Lions - Balzan	0:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
06.02.25	Żurrieq - Naxxar Lions	0:4 ✺
Maltese Premier League
02.02.25	Mosta - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Gżira United - Naxxar Lions	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
11.01.25	Naxxar Lions - Melita	4:2 ET
Maltese Premier League
25.11.24	Melita - Naxxar Lions	0:3
03.10.24	Naxxar Lions - Melita	0:0
Maltese Challenge League
22.04.23	Naxxar Lions - Melita	0:5
05.03.23	Melita - Naxxar Lions	1:2
08.12.22	Naxxar Lions - Melita	2:0
26.02.22	Naxxar Lions - Melita	0:2

Melita - Naxxar Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide