Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 1

Date: 22 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Naxxar Lions		Zejtun Corinthians

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.75	7.25
	1.32	4.8	7
	1.34	4.87	7.24
	1.34	4.65	7.3
	1.31	4.7	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.98)	4.75 ↑ (3.3)	7.12 ↑ (3.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
68.2%

Draw
19%

Zejtun Corinthians
12.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.1%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

25.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naxxar Lions's performance.

Zejtun Corinthians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zejtun Corinthians might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-20.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naxxar Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zejtun Corinthians than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zejtun Corinthians could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Naxxar Lions - Zejtun Corinthians Predictions

Users Predictions: Naxxar Lions will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Naxxar Lions won 3.

Recent matches Naxxar Lions is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Zejtun Corinthians is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Zejtun Corinthians could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Naxxar Lions is absolute favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Naxxar Lions won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Naxxar Lions won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese FA Trophy
15.01.23	Gudja United - Naxxar Lions	2:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
07.01.23	Naxxar Lions - Swieqi United	1:3 ✺
20.12.22	Vittoriosa Stars - Naxxar Lions	0:6 ✺
16.12.22	Naxxar Lions - Lija Athletic	3:2 ✺
13.12.22	St. Andrews - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWWW
- Zejtun Corinthians FC
Maltese FA Trophy
14.01.23	Zejtun Corinthians - Marsaxlokk	0:5 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
07.01.23	Fgura United - Zejtun Corinthians	4:1 ✺
22.12.22	Zejtun Corinthians - Mtarfa	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Marsaskala - Zejtun Corinthians	0:1 ✺
15.12.22	Zejtun Corinthians - Tarxien Rainbows	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
15.10.22	Naxxar Lions - Zejtun Corinthians	3:2
13.02.22	Naxxar Lions - Zejtun Corinthians	1:2
22.10.21	Zejtun Corinthians - Naxxar Lions	2:3
17.01.20	Naxxar Lions - Zejtun Corinthians	2:2
08.02.19	Zejtun Corinthians - Naxxar Lions	1:4
25.09.18	Naxxar Lions - Zejtun Corinthians	0:0

Naxxar Lions - Zejtun Corinthians