Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 15

Date: 16 December 2022, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Naxxar Lions		Lija Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.43	4.2	5.5
	1.46	4	5.2
	1.37	4.6	7.42
	1.47	4.2	5.55
	1.48	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.57)	4.24 ↑ (3.81)	5.81 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naxxar Lions
63%

Draw
21.4%

Lija Athletic
15.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57%

23.5%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.2%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naxxar Lions's performance.

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Naxxar Lions - Lija Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Naxxar will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Lija will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group) and 8 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group)).

Naxxar Lions in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Lija Athletic is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Naxxar Lions is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Naxxar Lions to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Naxxar Lions won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Naxxar Lions won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Challenge League
13.12.22	St. Andrews - Naxxar Lions	0:3 ✺
08.12.22	Naxxar Lions - Melita	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Attard - Naxxar Lions	1:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
16.11.22	Naxxar Lions - Oratory Youths	5:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
13.11.22	Naxxar Lions - San Ġwann	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW
- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
13.12.22	Melita - Lija Athletic	2:2 ✺
08.12.22	Lija Athletic - San Ġwann	1:2 ✺
03.12.22	Mqabba - Lija Athletic	1:2 ✺
14.11.22	Lija Athletic - Zejtun Corinthians	2:4 ✺
06.11.22	Qrendi - Lija Athletic	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
28.01.22	Lija Athletic - Naxxar Lions	1:3
25.09.21	Naxxar Lions - Lija Athletic	2:0
14.09.18	Naxxar Lions - Lija Athletic	2:2
Maltese Premier League
27.01.18	Lija Athletic - Naxxar Lions	0:4
16.09.17	Naxxar Lions - Lija Athletic	1:1

Naxxar Lions - Lija Athletic