Match Info

MALTA: CHALLENGE LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 13 December 2022, Tuesday


	St. Andrews		Naxxar Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.33	3.75	1.6
	4.3	3.6	1.61
	4.58	3.75	1.67
	4.5	3.9	1.53
	4.33	4	1.62	Watch
	4.4	3.75	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.41 ↑ (4.03)	3.79 ↑ (3.45)	1.61 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
20.4%

Draw
23.7%

Naxxar Lions
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.3%

26%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.7%

50.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Naxxar Lions, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.8%	10.5%	73.7%

St. Andrews - Naxxar Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. St. Andrews will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Naxxar will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Naxxar: 53.9% – 93.5%.

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Challenge League (Relegation Group) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Andrews won 1.

Recent matches St. Andrews is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Naxxar Lions in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Naxxar Lions is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches St. Andrews won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Andrews won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
08.12.22	Attard - St. Andrews	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	St. Andrews - Fgura United	3:2 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
16.11.22	St. Andrews - Żabbar St. Patrick	0:4 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
13.11.22	Mtarfa - St. Andrews	0:4 ✺
06.11.22	St. Andrews - Marsaskala	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLWT
- Naxxar Lions
Maltese Challenge League
08.12.22	Naxxar Lions - Melita	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Attard - Naxxar Lions	1:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
16.11.22	Naxxar Lions - Oratory Youths	5:1 ✺
Maltese Challenge League
13.11.22	Naxxar Lions - San Ġwann	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	Fgura United - Naxxar Lions	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese FA Trophy
02.03.21	Naxxar Lions - St. Andrews	0:1 penalties
Maltese Challenge League
13.02.21	Naxxar Lions - St. Andrews	4:0
24.02.20	Naxxar Lions - St. Andrews	2:1
Maltese Premier League
03.03.18	St. Andrews - Naxxar Lions	0:0
20.10.17	Naxxar Lions - St. Andrews	3:1
23.04.16	St. Andrews - Naxxar Lions	3:1
05.02.16	Naxxar Lions - St. Andrews	0:1

St. Andrews - Naxxar Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide