Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyprus League - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Christodoulou I. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2


	Nea Salamis		Aris Limassol

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.6	1.35
	6.6	4.6	1.36
	6.91	5.05	1.4
	6.9	5.18	1.38	Watch
	7	4.6	1.36
	8	5.15	1.34	Watch
	6.6	4.6	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.93 ↓ (7.6)	4.83 ↓ (5.05)	1.36 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nea Salamis
13.3%

Draw
19.1%

Aris Limassol
67.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

18.5%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

18%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Aris Limassol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris Limassol than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	11.1%	88.9%

Nea Salamis - Aris Limassol Predictions

Users Predictions: Aris Limassol will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Antosch D. (G) 28. Bahassa Y. 16. Bejarano Da. 3. de Lucas L. 18. Dos Santos N. C. C. 9. Durmishaj F. 22. Durmisi R. 10. Fernandez V. 5. Michail A. 4. Tomovic N. (C) 44. Viktoros G.	1. Vana Alves (G) 7. Bengtsson L. 6. Boakye E. 29. Gaustad D. 18. Goldson C. 14. Gomis Y. 9. Kokorin A. (C) 66. Montnor J. 22. Nikolic V. 23. Struski K. 72. Urosevic S.
Substitutes
17. Efthymiou E. 98. Kalanides G. (G) 80. Katsiaris A. 33. Kontopoulos S. 26. Lecjaks J. 30. Mavroudis A. 45. Plumain A. 25. Prokopiou T. 70. Sotiriou R. (G) 21. Spyridakis D. 11. Tabekou S. 14. Vellios A.	77. Anderson Correia 8. Brown M. 3. Caju 11. Kvilitaia G. 21. Mayambela M. 26. Pishias A. (G) 24. Sarfo A. 27. Sawo Z. 70. Semedo E. 90. Sofroniou E. (G)
Coaches
Poursaitidis S.	Shpilevski A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Michail A. ⚽,
28', Viktoros G. ↓, Plumain A. ↑,
33', Gaustad D. ↓, Mayambela M. ↑,
33', Nikolic V. ↓, Sarfo A. ↑,
33', 2 - 0, Michail A. ⚽,
36', 2 - 1, Mayambela M. ⚽,
37', Kokorin A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Gomis Y. ↓, Kvilitaia G. ↑,
46', Bengtsson L. ↓, Anderson Correia ↑,
63', Dos Santos N. C. C. ↓, Katsiaris A. ↑,
68', Montnor J. 🟨,
71', Montnor J. ↓, Semedo E. ↑,
72', 2 - 2, Kvilitaia G. ⚽,
85', Durmishaj F. ↓, Vellios A. ↑,
86', Plumain A. ↓, Tabekou S. ↑,
90+2', Tabekou S. 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

Nea Salamis is Cyprus League (Relegation Group )

Nea Salamis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Aris Limassol is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nea Salamis could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aris Limassol is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3:13 (average 0.6:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Nea Salamis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nea Salamis
Cypriot First Division
24.01.25	AEL Limassol - Nea Salamis	0:0 ✺
18.01.25	Nea Salamis - Anorthosis	0:4 ✺
12.01.25	AEK Larnaca - Nea Salamis	2:0 ✺
08.01.25	Nea Salamis - APOEL	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Nea Salamis - Ethnikos Achna	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TLLTL
- Aris Limassol FC
Cypriot First Division
26.01.25	Aris Limassol - Ethnikos Achna	6:1 ✺
19.01.25	Omonia - Aris Limassol	0:0 ✺
Cypriot Cup
15.01.25	Paphos - Aris Limassol	2:1 penalties ✺
Cypriot First Division
11.01.25	Aris Limassol - Paphos	1:0 ✺
07.01.25	Apollon Limassol - Aris Limassol	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
26.10.24	Aris Limassol - Nea Salamis	2:1
06.02.24	Nea Salamis - Aris Limassol	0:3
04.11.23	Aris Limassol - Nea Salamis	2:1
18.02.23	Aris Limassol - Nea Salamis	3:0
11.11.22	Nea Salamis - Aris Limassol	1:3

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