Match Info

CYPRUS: Cyprus League - Round 17

Date: 8 January 2025, Wednesday

Location: Ammochostos Stadium (Larnaca)

Referee: Christodoulou I. (Cyp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1


	Nea Salamis		APOEL

	1	X	2
	5.75	4.1	1.43
	5.8	3.85	1.42
	7.57	4.41	1.42	Watch
	6	4	1.44
	6.73	4.5	1.44
	5.8	3.85	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.28 ↓ (7.32)	4.12 ↓ (4.67)	1.43 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nea Salamis
14.5%

Draw
22%

APOEL
63.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.7%

20%

67.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.2%

19.2%

70.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nea Salamis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

APOEL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nea Salamis than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for APOEL than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that APOEL could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.7%	13.3%	80%

Nea Salamis - APOEL Predictions

Users Predictions: APOEL will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Antosch D. (G) 28. Bahassa Y. 16. Bejarano Da. 18. Dos Santos N. C. C. 10. Fernandez V. 23. Frangos A. 12. Gbelle G. 24. Leuko S. 5. Michail A. 4. Tomovic N. 14. Vellios A.	27. Belec V. (C) 17. Abagna D. 99. Alejo I. 29. Chebake I. 11. Donis A. 20. Drazic S. 9. El Arabi Y. 34. Laifis K. 3. Petrovic R. 19. Quintilla X. 8. Tejera S.
Substitutes
9. Durmishaj F. 17. Efthymiou E. 98. Kalanides G. (G) 80. Katsiaris A. 33. Kontopoulos S. 30. Mavroudis A. 25. Prokopiou T. 70. Sotiriou R. (G) 44. Viktoros G.	12. Bah A. 22. Christodoulou A. (G) 30. Corbu M. 5. Dvali L. 14. Gabriel Maioli 28. Galanopoulos K. 23. Kattirtzis P. 7. Meyer M. 21. Pizzi 18. Satsias G. 16. Susic M. 6. Vitor Meer
Coaches
Janevski C.	Jimenez M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Alejo I. ↓, Kattirtzis P. ↑,
45+3', Bahassa Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Drazic S. ↓, Pizzi ↑,
54', Dos Santos N. C. C. ↓, Durmishaj F. ↑,
64', 1 - 0, Fernandez V. ⚽,
71', Fernandez V. ↓, Katsiaris A. ↑,
72', Chebake I. 🟨,
75', Abagna D. ↓, Meyer M. ↑,
75', Gbelle G. 🟨,
76', Antosch D. 🟨,
78', Michail A. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, El Arabi Y. ⚽,
90+2', Bahassa Y. ↓, Kontopoulos S. ↑,
90+5', Bejarano Da. 🟨,
90+7', Tejera S. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Cyprus League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Cyprus League (Championship Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 1.

Nea Salamis is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

APOEL is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match APOEL is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Nea Salamis won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 16 matches and goals 11:48 (average 0.6:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Nea Salamis won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 5:22 (average 0.6:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nea Salamis
Cypriot First Division
04.01.25	Nea Salamis - Ethnikos Achna	0:3 ✺
22.12.24	Omonia - Nea Salamis	3:0 ✺
16.12.24	Nea Salamis - Paphos	0:2 ✺
Cypriot Cup
11.12.24	Enosis Neon Paralimni - Nea Salamis	1:0 penalties ✺
Cypriot First Division
08.12.24	Nea Salamis - Apollon Limassol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLLW
- APOEL
Cypriot First Division
04.01.25	APOEL - Karmiotissa Pano Polemidion	3:0 ✺
23.12.24	Ethnikos Achna - APOEL	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	APOEL - Astana	1:1 ✺
Cypriot First Division
15.12.24	APOEL - Enosis Neon Paralimni	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	Noah Yerevan - APOEL	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Cypriot First Division
22.09.24	APOEL - Nea Salamis	3:1
26.01.24	Nea Salamis - APOEL	0:4
Cypriot Cup
16.01.24	Nea Salamis - APOEL	Nea Salamis awarded
Cypriot First Division
21.10.23	APOEL - Nea Salamis	1:0
06.03.23	APOEL - Nea Salamis	3:0
03.12.22	Nea Salamis - APOEL	1:3
Cypriot Cup
22.09.21	APOEL - Nea Salamis	2:0

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