Match Info

FNL 2 - Division B - Group 1 - Round 25

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday


	Neftyanik Izberbash		Nart Cherkessk

	1	X	2
	3.31	3.38	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (3.05)	3.38 ↑ (3.2)	1.96 ↓ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftyanik Izberbash
27.3%

Draw
26.7%

Nart Cherkessk
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

28.6%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28.3%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftyanik Izberbash has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Nart Cherkessk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neftyanik Izberbash than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nart Cherkessk than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nart Cherkessk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Neftyanik Izberbash - Nart Cherkessk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Isaev M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 1 - 1, Vostrikov I. ⚽,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 11th and 8th).

Neftyanik is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Nart has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Nart is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Neftyanik has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:5.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Nart Cherkessk	24	11	4	9	33:21	12	37
12	Izberbash	25	7	2	16	21:62	-41	23

Last Results with these Odds

Nart Cherkessk - the odds 2.22 are the expected chance of winning is 41.29%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftyanik Izberbash
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
19.09.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Astrakhan	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Neftyanik Izberbash - Pobeda Khasavyurt	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	Chayka 2 - Neftyanik Izberbash	3:1 ✺
Russian Cup
26.08.26	Druzhba Maykop - Neftyanik Izberbash	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLLL
- Nart Cherkessk
Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
19.09.26	Nart Cherkessk - Angust Nazran	3:0 ✺
12.09.26	Nart Cherkessk - Druzhba Maykop	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Spartak Nalchik - Nart Cherkessk	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Kyzyltash - Nart Cherkessk	3:2 ✺
22.08.26	Nart Cherkessk - Rubin Yalta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division B Group 1
04.04.26	Nart Cherkessk - Neftyanik Izberbash	5:0

Neftyanik Izberbash - Nart Cherkessk: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide