Match Info

Chatham Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2026, Saturday


	Nelson Suburbs		Auckland United

	1	X	2
	2.40	3.70	2.30
	2.28	3.85	2.38
	2.36	4.37	2.18
	4.84	4.37	1.55	Watch
	2.03	4.30	2.45
	2.46	3.83	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (1.99)	4.07 ↑ (3.81)	2.23 ↓ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nelson Suburbs
34.5%

Draw
23.1%

Auckland United
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

23.6%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nelson Suburbs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nelson Suburbs's form might have worsened.

Auckland United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Auckland United's recent form is better than expected.

Nelson Suburbs - Auckland United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Auckland United (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Auckland United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Nelson Suburbs could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nelson Suburbs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nelson Suburbs FC
New Zealand Chatham Cup
03.07.26	Nelson Suburbs - Northern AFC	5:0 ✺
15.08.25	Auckland United - Nelson Suburbs	3:0 ✺
26.07.25	Nelson Suburbs - Birkenhead United	1:1 ✺
04.07.25	Dunedin City Royals - Nelson Suburbs	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLTW
- Auckland United
New Zealand Chatham Cup
03.07.26	Auckland United - Cambridge	3:1 ET ✺
New Zealand National League
06.12.25	Auckland FC 2 - Auckland United	3:0 ✺
29.11.25	Auckland United - Wellington Olympic	0:3 ✺
22.11.25	Western Suburbs - Auckland United	1:0 ✺
14.11.25	Auckland United - Birkenhead United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand Chatham Cup
15.08.25	Auckland United - Nelson Suburbs	3:0

Nelson Suburbs - Auckland United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide