Match Info

BULGARIA: Vtora liga - Round 21

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Nesebar		Dunav Ruse

	1	X	2
	4.7	3.5	1.66
	4.59	3.73	1.63
	4.92	3.8	1.61	Watch
	5.47	3.64	1.56	Watch
	4.7	3.5	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↑ (3.97)	3.63 ↑ (3.08)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nesebar
18.7%

Draw
25.1%

Dunav Ruse
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.5%

29%

48.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6%

27.8%

50.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Dunav Ruse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dunav Ruse's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dunav Ruse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nesebar - Dunav Ruse Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Pepelyashev P. (G) 14. Balinov D. 6. Dalev G. 15. Dalev K. 20. Gavov N. 9. Gelin N. 13. Ivanov D. 8. Kunev V. 4. Petrov T. 18. Pyuskyulyu N. (C) 11. Yanev V.	1. Nikolov D. (G) 14. Apostolov R. 8. Bemanga K. 26. Hadzhiev K. (C) 45. Hasan D. 11. Minchev D. 77. N'Sonde J. 30. Pehlivanov Z. 99. Su E. 88. Todorov D. 7. Veshev S.
Substitutes
16. Georgiev H. 1. Kaishev M. (G) 27. Kostov N. 21. Minev A. 99. Parashkevov K. 7. Slivov V. 17. Uzunov A. 10. Velinov S.	29. Dichev N. 23. Goshev I. (G) 22. Predev S. 19. Stefanov S. 18. Vangelov M. 10. Zakonov D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 🟨,
49', 🟥,
50', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+2', 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
04.12.24	CSKA 1948 Sofia II - Nesebar	3:3 ✺
30.11.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Nesebar	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Nesebar - Marek Dupnitsa	0:2 ✺
16.11.24	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Nesebar	3:0 ✺
09.11.24	Nesebar - Botev Plovdiv II	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTLLL
- FC Dunav Ruse
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
05.12.24	Dunav Ruse - Spartak Pleven	3:1 ✺
01.12.24	Dunav Ruse - CSKA Sofia II	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Fratria - Dunav Ruse	0:4 ✺
16.11.24	Dunav Ruse - Sportist Svoge	2:1 ✺
09.11.24	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Dunav Ruse	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
27.07.24	Dunav Ruse - Nesebar	2:0

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