Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 38

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Nesebar		Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.55	2.03
	2.92	3.51	2.02
	3.04	3.65	2.06	Watch
	3.11	3.7	2.07	Watch
	3.05	3.55	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.8)	3.59 ↑ (3.2)	2.04 ↑ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nesebar
30%

Draw
25.4%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

26%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

24.7%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nesebar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nesebar than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Nesebar - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Sheytanov M. (G) 11. Dimov G. 5. Dimov P. 77. Drosev N. G. 9. Gelin N. 27. Kostov N. (C) 8. Kunev V. 4. Petrov T. 7. Slivov V. 10. Velinov S. 91. Yanev V.	33. Ganev G. (G) 10. Avramov I. 8. Ivanov J. 17. Kolev G. 6. Kolev N. 5. Minkov M. (C) 19. Paskov P. 21. Savov M. 11. Tashev G. 27. Tsachev Y. 71. Valchev G.
Substitutes
14. Balinov D. 21. Bonev P. 6. Dalev G. 16. Jonathan 99. Parashkevov K. 33. Rahnev P. (G)	92. Cabanelas D. 1. Dimitrov V. (G) 69. Kanchev D. 3. Kuittinen M. 20. Mihaylov T. 16. Mitev S. 7. Todorov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Kolev G. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
65', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
79', 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, ⚽,
85', 🟨,
87', 🟨,
87', 🟥,
88', 🟨,
90+2', 🟨,
90+2', 🟥,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Nesebar is Relegated to

Nesebar has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gorna Oryahovitsa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Gorna Oryahovitsa could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Nesebar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Nesebar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
17.05.25	Marek Dupnitsa - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Nesebar - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:2 ✺
08.05.25	Botev Plovdiv II - Nesebar	0:2 ✺
03.05.25	Nesebar - Strumska Slava Radomir	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Belasitsa Petrich - Nesebar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWTL
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
17.05.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Spartak Pleven	2:0 ✺
11.05.25	CSKA Sofia II - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:4 ✺
07.05.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Sportist Svoge - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	3:0 ✺
26.04.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Dobrudzha Dobrich	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
30.11.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Nesebar	0:0
04.05.19	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Nesebar	1:1
18.11.17	Nesebar - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	4:2

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