Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 17

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Dragalevtsi (Sofia)


	CSKA Sofia II		Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.35	4.45
	1.74	3.45	4.52	Watch
	1.71	3.35	4.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.64)	3.38 ↓ (3.5)	4.52 ↓ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Sofia II
53%

Draw
26.9%

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

25.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

24.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Sofia II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Sofia II than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Sofia II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

CSKA Sofia II - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nikolov D. (G) 88. Antonov I. 91. Bornosuzov Y. 21. Buchkov A. 4. Chatov S. 32. Chorbadzhiyski G. B. 93. Dinev D. 8. Iliev Y. 24. Kichukov A. 7. Papazov M. 15. Tunchev A.	12. Milushev K. (G) 15. Arshev P. 8. Avramov I. 9. Ivanov J. 26. Ivanov M. 3. Kuittinen M. 18. Mainis P. 5. Minkov M. 19. Paskov P. 16. Raykov T. 20. Roemer Y.
Substitutes
9. Georgiev A. 77. Gilov Y. 3. Ivanov L. 11. Kaymakanov V. 47. Nikolov A. 12. Orlinov M. (G) 19. Sorakov M. 6. Sotirov M. 10. Zhivkov R.	24. Ayeni A. 1. Dimitrov V. (G) 10. Kanchev D. 17. Kolev G. 4. Mihalev D. 14. Petrov M. 29. Simons De Fanti E. 7. Todorov K. 27. Tsachev Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 🟨,
17', 🟨,
22', 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
52', 🟥,
59', 🟨,
64', 🟥,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 6).

CSKA Sofia II is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Gorna Oryahovitsa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

CSKA Sofia II may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gorna Oryahovitsa has had a series of home games.

In this match, CSKA Sofia II is considered a favorite.

We predict that CSKA Sofia II will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, CSKA Sofia II won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, CSKA Sofia II won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Sofia II
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
07.11.25	CSKA Sofia II - Minyor Pernik	0:1 ✺
03.11.25	Yantra Gabrovo - CSKA Sofia II	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	CSKA Sofia II - Fratria	1:0 ✺
20.10.25	Sevlievo - CSKA Sofia II	1:2 ✺
03.10.25	CSKA Sofia II - Sportist Svoge	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 LWWWW
- Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
16.11.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Spartak Pleven	3:1 ✺
08.11.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Ludogorets II	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Minyor Pernik	3:1 ✺
18.10.25	Yantra Gabrovo - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:2 ✺
06.10.25	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - Fratria	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
11.05.25	CSKA Sofia II - Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa	2:4
17.11.24	Lokomotiv Gorna Oryahovitsa - CSKA Sofia II	1:1

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