Match Info

Vtora liga - Round 30

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Gradski stadion (Nesebar)


	Nesebar		Montana

	1	X	2
	7.2	4.2	1.38
	7.62	4.32	1.38	Watch
	7.6	4.2	1.37
	5.5	3.8	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.98 ↑ (6.82)	4.13 ↑ (4)	1.4 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nesebar
13%

Draw
22%

Montana
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.3%

22.6%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

22.1%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nesebar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Montana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Nesebar aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montana than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Nesebar - Montana Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Montana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Nesebar (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nesebar (votes: 1 - 50%). Montana (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Sheytanov M. (G) 14. Balinov D. 11. Dimov G. 5. Dimov P. 77. Drosev N. G. 27. Kostov N. (C) 17. Petrov A. 4. Petrov T. 7. Slivov V. 3. Stoyanov I. 10. Velinov S.	12. Veskov Y. (G) 4. Borisov N. 6. Dinev D. 21. Dobrev V. 18. Iliev K. 22. Kamenov S. 11. Sorakov M. 10. Todorov A. 19. Tsekov Dimitrov V. 23. Tungarov A. (C) 20. Vakadinov B.
Substitutes
6. Dalev G. 15. Dalev K. 9. Gelin N. 13. Ivanov D. 16. Jonathan 8. Kunev V. 99. Parashkevov K. 33. Rahnev P. (G) 91. Yanev V.	8. Atanasov P. 9. Berete I. 13. Ekele E. 24. Kouakou W. 30. Krastev N. (G) 15. Taskov K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
43', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', 🟨,
51', 0 - 2, ⚽,
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
68', 🟨,
73', 1 - 3, ⚽,
83', 🟨,
83', 🟨,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga).

Nesebar is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Montana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Montana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Nesebar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Nesebar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PFC Nesebar
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.04.25	Ludogorets II - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Pirin Blagoevgrad - Nesebar	5:1 ✺
22.03.25	Nesebar - Spartak Pleven	1:2 ✺
16.03.25	CSKA Sofia II - Nesebar	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Nesebar - Fratria	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW
- FC Montana
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.04.25	Montana - Spartak Pleven	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	CSKA Sofia II - Montana	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Montana - Fratria	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Sportist Svoge - Montana	0:3 ✺
11.03.25	Montana - Dobrudzha Dobrich	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
28.09.24	Montana - Nesebar	2:0
23.05.19	Nesebar - Montana	1:2
26.11.18	Montana - Nesebar	3:1

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