Match Info

World Championship - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio BBVA (Monterrey)

Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport PSL, ZAP
Albania	Klani IM, SuperSport 2, TV Klan
Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Flow Eventos
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 1, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 3, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6, beIN Sports MENA Max 6
Australia	SBS, SBS On Demand
Austria	ORF 1, ORF On
Azerbaijan	Ictimai TV
Bangladesh	Toffee Live, T Sports
Belarus	Sport TV
Belgium	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, Sporza, Sporza, VRT 1
Bolivia	Entel Gol 56, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Disney+
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	RDS App, RDS, TSN 1, TSN 3, TSN 4, TSN 5, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu
Croatia	HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CT sport, Oneplay
Denmark	DR 1
Dr-congo	RTNC
Ecuador	DAZN, DirecTV Sports
El-salvador	Tigo Sports
Estonia	Go3 Extra Sports
Faroe-islands	Televarp
Fiji	FBC Sports
Finland	YLE Areena, YLE TV2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, New World TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	ERT 1, ERT 2
Guatemala	Tigo Sports
Guinea	RTG
Hong-kong	Now Player
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	ZEE5
Iran	Persiana Sports 2, Persiana Sports
Ireland	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	Kan 11, Sport 1
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, NHK G TV
Kazakhstan	Qazsport
Kosovo	Arena Premium 1, Klan Kosova
Kyrgyzstan	KTRK Sports
Lithuania	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	unifi playTV, Unifi TV
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet, TVM, Yes
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, FOX+, TUDN, VIX, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Morocco	Al Aoula, Arryadia, Arryadia TNT, Laayoune TV, SNRT Live, Tamazight TV
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	NPO 1, NPO Start, Ziggo Go
New-zealand	TVNZ+
Nicaragua	Tigo Sports
Nigeria	SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean
North-macedonia	TDM Desporto
Norway	TV2, TV2 Play
Pakistan	PTV Sports, Tapmad
Panama	Tigo Sports
Paraguay	Canal Trece, GEN
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	Cignal Play, Pilipinas Live, TapGO TV
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Portugal	Sport TV5
Romania	AntenaPLAY, Antena
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	meWATCH, Singtel TV GO
Slovakia	JOJ Play, JOJ Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1, Slovenia TV2
South-africa	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport PSL
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	JTBC, KBS 2
Spain	DAZN Espana
Suriname	STVS
Sweden	Discovery+, SVT 1, SVT Play
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, SRF 2, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV
Turkey	Tabii, TRT 1
Turkmenistan	Turkmenistan Sport
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport, ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	AUFTV, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 310
Usa	AFN Sports, FOX Network, FOX One, Futbol de Primera Radio, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, TUDN
Uzbekistan	Futbol TV, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTV 3, VTV Go


	Netherlands		Morocco

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.10	3.30
	2.35	3.00	3.30
	2.35	3.05	3.35
	2.48	3.16	3.42
	2.33	3.33	3.32	Watch
	2.45	3.10	3.25
	2.30	3.16	3.58
	2.29	3.15	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.05)	3.13 ↓ (3.36)	3.37 ↓ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Netherlands
40.7%

Draw
30.7%

Morocco
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

28.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

31.1%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Netherlands has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Netherlands's form might have worsened.

Morocco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Netherlands than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Netherlands, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morocco than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Morocco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.2%	31.3%	20.5%

Netherlands - Morocco Predictions

Users Predictions: 82 users predict this event. Netherlands will win (votes: 40 - 48.8%). Morocco will win (votes: 16 - 19.5%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 31.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Netherlands: 38% – 59.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 4 - 50%). Morocco (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.80) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH +0.5 - Morocco (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Morocco (1.59) (votes: 6 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +0.5 - Netherlands (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 18 Selected Experts predict this event. Netherlands (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Morocco (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Verbruggen B. (G) Brighton 6. van Hecke J. P. Brighton 4. van Dijk V. (C) Liverpool 5. Ake N. Manchester City 22. Dumfries D. Inter 8. Gravenberch R. Liverpool 21. de Jong F. Barcelona 15. van de Ven M. Tottenham 24. Summerville C. West Ham 11. Gakpo C. Liverpool 19. Brobbey B. Sunderland	1. Bono (G) Al Hilal 2. Hakimi A. (C) PSG 14. Diop I. Fulham 18. Riad C. Crystal Palace 3. Mazraoui N. Manchester United 6. Bouaddi A. Lille 24. El Aynaoui N. AS Roma 10. Diaz B. Real Madrid 8. Ounahi A. Girona 23. El Khannouss B. VfB Stuttgart 11. Saibari I. PSV
Substitutes
10. Depay M. Corinthians 3. De Roon M. Atalanta 23. Flekken M. (G) Bayer Leverkusen 2. Geertruida L. Sunderland 25. Hato J. Chelsea 7. Kluivert J. Bournemouth 20. Koopmeiners T. Juventus 17. Lang N. Galatasaray 18. Malen D. AS Roma 14. Reijnders T. Manchester City 13. Roefs R. (G) Sunderland 16. Til G. PSV 26. Timber Q. Marseille 9. Weghorst W. Ajax 12. Wieffer M. Brighton	21. Amaimouni A. Eintracht Frankfurt 4. Amrabat S. Betis 19. Belammari Y. Al Ahly 20. El Kaabi A. Olympiacos Piraeus 15. El Mourabet S. Strasbourg 13. El Ouahdi Z. Genk 25. Halhal R. KV Mechelen 12. Munir (G) Berkane 9. Rahimi S. Al Ain 5. Saadane M. Al Fateh 26. Salah-Eddine A. PSV 17. Sbai A. Angers 22. Tagnaouti A. (G) FAR Rabat 7. Talbi C. Sunderland 16. Yassine G. Strasbourg
Coaches
Koeman R.	Ouahbi M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Diop I. 🟨,
71', Ake N. ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
71', Brobbey B. ↓, Weghorst W. ↑,
72', 1 - 0, Gakpo C. ⚽, Summerville C. (A),
75', Riad C. ↓, Salah-Eddine A. ↑,
79', Diaz B. ↓, Yassine G. ↑,
79', Bouaddi A. ↓, El Mourabet S. ↑,
86', Ounahi A. ↓, Rahimi S. ↑,
86', van de Ven M. ↓, Hato J. ↑,
86', Gravenberch R. ↓, Timber Q. ↑,
87', El Khannouss B. ↓, Talbi C. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Diop I. ⚽, Talbi C. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
110', de Jong F. ↓, De Roon M. ↑,
113', Gakpo C. ↓, Kluivert J. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 3)
1, Koopmeiners T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, El Aynaoui N. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kluivert J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Rahimi S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Weghorst W. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Talbi C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Timber Q. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Hakimi A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Summerville C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Saibari I. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Netherlands is ranked FIFA: 8. Morocco is ranked FIFA: 7.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Netherlands could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Netherlands: Timber J. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Morocco: Aguerd N. (Groin Injury) Ezzalzouli A. (Knee Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Netherlands won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Netherlands
FIFA World Cup
25.06.26	Tunisia - Netherlands	1:3 ✺
20.06.26	Netherlands - Sweden	5:1 ✺
14.06.26	Netherlands - Japan	2:2 ✺
Friendly
08.06.26	Netherlands - Uzbekistan	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Netherlands - Algeria	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWTWL
- Morocco
FIFA World Cup
24.06.26	Morocco - Haiti	4:2 ✺
19.06.26	Scotland - Morocco	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Brazil - Morocco	1:1 ✺
Friendly
07.06.26	Morocco - Norway	1:1 ✺
02.06.26	Morocco - Madagascar	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Friendly
31.05.17	Morocco - Netherlands	1:2

Netherlands - Morocco: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide