Match Info

Challenge League - Round 30

Date: 10 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Maladière (Neuchâtel)

Referee: Jaussi J. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1


	Neuchâtel Xamax		Stade Nyonnais

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.55	3.4
	1.96	3.77	3.97
	1.91	3.86	3.55	Watch
	1.85	3.7	3.25
	1.89	3.87	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.81)	3.75 ↓ (3.93)	3.55 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neuchâtel Xamax
48.8%

Draw
24.9%

Stade Nyonnais
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.6%

23.7%

24.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.1%

24.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neuchâtel Xamax has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Stade Nyonnais has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neuchâtel Xamax than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Nyonnais than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Omeragic E. (G) 16. Seydoux L. 15. Epitaux Y. 21. Bergsma L. 3. Fontana J. 81. Carraco D. 17. Bayard R. 4. Abedini E. (C) 99. Mulaj L. 20. Kone K. 9. Demhasaj S.	91. Mastil M. (C) 12. Jaquenoud L. 71. Richard G. 4. Soro K. 3. Correia R. 10. Diomande B. 14. Simo J. 8. Bega L. 22. Bah Mendes I. 18. Manquant J. 17. Aymon Y.
Substitutes
35. Azemi A. 11. Ben Seghir S. 41. Bourezak A. 7. Facchinetti M. 5. Hajrulahu L. 19. Hautier J. 94. Hottiger T. (G) 25. Krasniqi J. 34. Zahaj E.	68. Alili B. 24. Borges F. 20. Brandy E. 77. Edougue S. 15. Grognuz N. 34. Leclercq M. 1. Mazzeo M. (G) 6. Okuka M. 31. Rodriguez P.
Coaches
Braizat A.	Binotto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Mulaj L. ⚽,
14', Fontana J. 🟨,
17', 2 - 0, Demhasaj S. ⚽,
37', 2 - 1, Omeragic E. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Aymon Y. ↓, Edougue S. ↑,
58', Bayard R. ↓, Ben Seghir S. ↑,
63', Bah Mendes I. ↓, Alili B. ↑,
63', Manquant J. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
63', Simo J. ↓, Okuka M. ↑,
75', Kone K. ↓, Hautier J. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Carraco D. ⚽, Demhasaj S. (A),
84', 4 - 1, Hautier J. ⚽,
85', Diomande B. ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
87', Mulaj L. 🟨,
88', Fontana J. ↓, Facchinetti M. ↑,
88', Demhasaj S. ↓, Azemi A. ↑,
89', Mulaj L. ↓, Zahaj E. ↑,
90', Edougue S. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 2.

Xamax has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stade Nyonnais has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stade Nyonnais may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Xamax is considered a favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Xamax won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:14. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Xamax won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Xamax	9	4	0	5	12:17	-5	12
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6:23	-17	2

Last Results with these Odds

Neuchâtel Xamax - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.56%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neuchâtel Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
07.04.26	Wil 1900 - Neuchâtel Xamax	5:2 ✺
03.04.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Vaduz	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Winterthur - Neuchâtel Xamax	2:1 ✺
Swiss Challenge League
21.03.26	Aarau - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Neuchâtel Xamax - Rapperswil-Jona	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLLW
- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League
06.04.26	Stade Nyonnais - Yverdon	1:4 ✺
03.04.26	Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais	0:0 ✺
20.03.26	Stade Nyonnais - Rapperswil-Jona	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Stade Nyonnais	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
06.03.26	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:0
19.12.25	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:1
Swiss Cup
02.12.25	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:2 penalties
Swiss Challenge League
25.07.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	1:1
16.05.25	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	1:3
16.03.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	4:0
Club Friendly
17.01.25	Neuchâtel Xamax - Stade Nyonnais	1:2

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