Match Info

Challenge League - Round 28

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stade de la Fontenette (Carouge)

Referee: Schmolzer M. (Sui)


	Étoile Carouge		Stade Nyonnais

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.45	3.45
	1.94	3.64	3.83
	1.9	3.74	3.69	Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.91	3.6	3.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.89)	3.55 ↓ (3.56)	3.66 ↑ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Étoile Carouge
48.5%

Draw
26.1%

Stade Nyonnais
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.8%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

25.7%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Étoile Carouge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stade Nyonnais has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Étoile Carouge than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Stade Nyonnais aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Étoile will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Diallo M. M. (G) 22. Rufli V. 25. Felder V. 14. Zrankeon G. 3. Hoxha F. 8. Ricardo Alves 6. El Jaouhari M. (C) 77. Escorza T. 27. Correia O. 76. Itaitinga 99. Bouchlarhem T.	91. Mastil M. (C) 12. Jaquenoud L. 71. Richard G. 4. Soro K. 3. Correia R. 10. Diomande B. 14. Simo J. 8. Bega L. 22. Bah Mendes I. 18. Manquant J. 17. Aymon Y.
Substitutes
44. Atangana B. E. (G) 12. Boulkous N. 33. Bua K. 10. Caslei B. 88. Essiena Avang L. 24. Fankhauser S. 23. Philippin R. 11. Samba T. 17. Sene O.	68. Alili B. 24. Borges F. 20. Brandy E. 77. Edougue S. 15. Grognuz N. 34. Leclercq M. 1. Mazzeo M. (G) 6. Okuka M. 31. Rodriguez P.
Coaches
Nogueira P.	Binotto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Escorza T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Bouchlarhem T. 🟨,
56', Manquant J. ↓, Borges F. ↑,
65', Itaitinga ↓, Samba T. ↑,
65', Escorza T. ↓, Caslei B. ↑,
70', Diomande B. ↓, Okuka M. ↑,
70', Aymon Y. ↓, Alili B. ↑,
72', Ricardo Alves 🟨,
77', Ricardo Alves ↓, Bua K. ↑,
84', Bega L. ↓, Leclercq M. ↑,
84', Bah Mendes I. ↓, Edougue S. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 2.

Étoile is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Stade Nyonnais has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Étoile is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Étoile: Antonio S. (Red Card) Harrington F. (Injury) Walker M. (Injury)

There will not play in Stade Nyonnais: Alili B. (Inactive) Edougue S. (Inactive) Ghia J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Stade Nyonnais: Parra H. (Inactive)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Étoile won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Étoile won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 17:11. (average 1.9:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Etoile-Carouge	9	2	3	4	8:12	-4	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6:23	-17	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Étoile Carouge
Swiss Challenge League
22.03.26	Wil 1900 - Étoile Carouge	1:3 ✺
13.03.26	Bellinzona - Étoile Carouge	0:3 ✺
06.03.26	Étoile Carouge - Aarau	0:3 ✺
28.02.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Étoile Carouge	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Étoile Carouge - Yverdon	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWLWT
- Stade Nyonnais
Swiss Challenge League
20.03.26	Stade Nyonnais - Rapperswil-Jona	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Lausanne Ouchy - Stade Nyonnais	1:1 ✺
06.03.26	Stade Nyonnais - Neuchâtel Xamax	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Vaduz - Stade Nyonnais	1:0 ✺
20.02.26	Stade Nyonnais - Aarau	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Challenge League
23.01.26	Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge	2:2
07.11.25	Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge	0:0
26.08.25	Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais	1:1
31.03.25	Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais	2:1
07.03.25	Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge	0:3
04.10.24	Étoile Carouge - Stade Nyonnais	3:1
20.09.24	Stade Nyonnais - Étoile Carouge	2:4

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