Match Info

AUSTRALIA & OCEANIA: World Championship - Qualification - Third stage - Final

Date: 24 March 2025, Monday

Location: Eden Park (Auckland)


	New Caledonia		New Zealand

	1	X	2
	41	19	1.02
	46	15	1.01
	20	19.07	1.01	Watch
	46	17.5	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	38.25 ↑ (33)	17.64 ↓ (18)	1.02 ↓ (1.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Caledonia
2.5%

Draw
5.3%

New Zealand
92.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

2.9%

5.3%

91.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Caledonia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	11.1%	77.8%

New Caledonia - New Zealand Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. New Caledonia will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). New Zealand will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Zealand: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:4

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nyikeine R. (G) Hienghene Sport 19. Athale J. St Quentin 4. Bako P. L. Vertou 10. Gope-Fenepej G. Saint-Pryve 22. Haewegene G. Magenta 2. Iwa B. Qanono Sports 7. Jeno A. Beitar Jerusalem 8. Kenon J. Saint-Philbert 5. Ranchain F. Gaitcha 18. Simane D. ASPTT Dijon 11. Zeoula C. (C) Chauvigny	1. Crocombe M. (G) Burton 6. Bell J. Viking 4. Bindon T. Reading 5. Boxall M. Minnesota United 13. Cacace L. Empoli 7. Garbett M. NAC Breda 20. McCowatt C. Silkeborg 2. Payne T. Wellington Phoenix 10. Singh S. Leiria 8. Stamenic M. Olympiacos Piraeus 9. Wood Ch. (C) Nottingham
Substitutes
3. Bearune E. Hienghene Sport 17. Bearune Y. 9. Katrawa J. 23. Partodikromo M. Worcester 15. Richard T. Mont Dore 21. Schmidt T. (G) Lossi 13. Sotirio J. Sydney FC 16. Ulile M. (G) Magenta 20. Waia G. 14. Waya L. 12. Welepane S. Tiga Sport	17. Barbarouses K. Wellington Phoenix 21. De Vries F. Auckland FC 11. Just E. St. Polten 12. Paulsen A. (G) Auckland FC 3. Pijnaker N. Auckland FC 14. Randall J. Auckland FC 19. Rogerson L. Auckland FC 23. Roux S. Central Coast 16. Rufer A. Wellington Phoenix 22. Sail O. (G) Perth Glory 15. Smith T. Auckland FC 18. Waine B. Mansfield

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Garbett M. ↓, De Vries F. ↑,
46', McCowatt C. ↓, Just E. ↑,
52', Haewegene G. ↓, Waya L. ↑,
52', Zeoula C. ↓, Waia G. ↑,
55', Wood Ch. ↓, Barbarouses K. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Boxall M. ⚽, De Vries F. (A),
66', 0 - 2, Barbarouses K. ⚽, Payne T. (A),
66', Simane D. ↓, Bearune Y. ↑,
70', Singh S. ↓, Rufer A. ↑,
76', Gope-Fenepej G. ↓, Partodikromo M. ↑,
76', Iwa B. ↓, Welepane S. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Just E. ⚽, Barbarouses K. (A),
86', Cacace L. ↓, Rogerson L. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches New Caledonia won 0.

In this match New Zealand is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches New Caledonia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2:14 (average 0.3:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Caledonia
FIFA World Cup
20.03.25	New Caledonia - Tahiti	3:0 ✺
16.11.24	Fiji - New Caledonia	1:1 ✺
13.11.24	Solomon Islands - New Caledonia	2:3 ✺
10.10.24	New Caledonia - Papua New Guinea	3:1 ✺
Pacific Games Football
27.11.23	New Caledonia - Vanuatu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WTWWW
- New Zealand
FIFA World Cup
21.03.25	New Zealand - Fiji	7:0 ✺
18.11.24	Samoa - New Zealand	0:8 ✺
15.11.24	New Zealand - Vanuatu	8:1 ✺
Friendly
14.10.24	New Zealand - Malaysia	4:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.10.24	New Zealand - Tahiti	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
24.03.22	New Zealand - New Caledonia	7:1
15.11.16	New Caledonia - New Zealand	0:0
11.11.16	New Zealand - New Caledonia	2:0
OFC Nations Cup
08.06.16	New Zealand - New Caledonia	1:0
FIFA World Cup
22.03.13	New Zealand - New Caledonia	2:1
07.09.12	New Caledonia - New Zealand	0:2

New Caledonia - New Zealand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide