The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City II 40%
Draw 25.7%
Columbus Crew 2 34.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.9%
24.9%
38.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
24.2%
37.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
New York City II - Columbus Crew 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
80. Klein B. (G) 82. Campos A. 53. Loiola J. 45. Acito K. 52. Smith K. 71. Molinari P. 27. Flax C. 93. Samb E. 57. Suchecki J. (C) 75. Kerr D. 81. Musu S.
54. Pruter L. (G) 55. Rogers C. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 47. Elliot Q. 22. Brown T. 50. Karumanchi T. 30. Rincon N. 45. Presthus O. 48. Zengue Z. 46. Adams C. 31. Gbamble K. (C)
Substitutes
95. Daoud R. (G) 92. De Pinho L. 46. de Souza G. 97. Duque D. 68. Hvatum H. 58. Martin E. 83. Ponce J. 59. Randazzo D. 62. Suarez A. (G)
42. Adu-Gyamfi B. 40. Chirinos J. 51. De Libera G. 36. Heffess I. 41. Lapkes S. (G) 33. Nyeman M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Flax C. (Penalty Awarded),
31', 2 - 0, Musu S. ⚽, Samb E. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
60', Musu S. ↓, Hvatum H. ↑,
62', 2 - 1, Rogers C. ⚽, Zengue Z. (A),
72', Ruvalcaba C. 🟨,
73', Presthus O. ↓, Adu-Gyamfi B. ↑,
76', Elliot Q. 🟨,
79', 2 - 2, Gbamble K. ⚽,
80', Rincon N. ↓, Chirinos J. ↑,
81', Brown T. 🟨,
85', Campos A. ↓, Randazzo D. ↑,
86', Samb E. ↓, De Pinho L. ↑,
90+1', 2 - 3, Chirinos J. (Penalty Awarded),
90+2', Molinari P. ↓, Duque D. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).