The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City II 58.5%
Draw 21.3%
Cincinnati 2 20.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.2%
23.5%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
23.6%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Cincinnati 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cincinnati 2 than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
New York City II - Cincinnati 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Learned M. (G) 82. Campos A. 53. Loiola J. 57. Suchecki J. (C) 44. Sunjic L. 27. Flax C. 71. Molinari P. 77. Lopez J. 29. Carrizo M. 93. Samb E. 83. Ponce J.
95. Paz D. (G) 50. Samson F. 70. Bron L. 55. Lajhar A. 41. Mosquera D. 82. Sphire C. 52. Ramos Y. 43. Holmes C. 19. Chirila S. (C) 30. Chavez A. 51. Niang C.
Substitutes
47. Arroyave J. 56. Bilden J. 79. Danquah C. 97. Duque D. 75. Kerr D. 58. Martin E. 90. McDermott D. (G) 84. Vafiades N.
45. Gray N. 48. Lachekar S. 44. Marioni G. 54. Mize J. 57. Orejarena L. 97. Saunders B. 42. Vazquez M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Sunjic L. ⚽, Ponce J. (A),
19', 2 - 0, Lopez J. ⚽, Molinari P. (A),
25', Ramos Y. 🟨,
28', 3 - 0, Ponce J. ⚽,
36', Lopez J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ramos Y. ↓, Orejarena L. ↑,
63', Niang C. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
63', Chavez A. ↓, Mize J. ↑,
69', Samb E. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
71', Mosquera D. ↓, Gray N. ↑,
77', 4 - 0, Carrizo M. ⚽, Kerr D. (A),
81', Sunjic L. ↓, Arroyave J. ↑,
81', Ponce J. ↓, Vafiades N. ↑,
81', Bron L. ↓, Lachekar S. ↑,
89', Lachekar S. 🟨,
90', Flax C. ↓, Duque D. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 0, Carrizo M. ⚽, Molinari P. (A),
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 2.
New York City II has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cincinnati 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Cincinnati 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, New York City II is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:13. (average 2.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.8:1.2).
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Learned M. (G) 
Campos A. 
Loiola J. 
Samson F. 
Lajhar A. 
Mosquera D. 
Ramos Y. 
Chirila S. (C) 
Niang C. 
Danquah C. 
Lachekar S. 
Vazquez M. 
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