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Current Win Probability
New York City II 45.6%
Draw 24.7%
Crown Legacy 29.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
24.2%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
24%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Crown Legacy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crown Legacy than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
New York City II - Crown Legacy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
44. Rando A. (G) 38. Baiera A. 63. Leong M. 61. Hauschild A. 18. McFarlane C. 70. Rozhansky J. 99. Calheira T. 32. Shore J. 29. Carrizo M. 77. Jimenez J. 74. Arevalo R.
26. Odunze C. (G) 35. Scardina N. 43. Sangoquiza W. 54. Ouedraogo A. 40. Forbes J. 48. John A. 66. Mayaka P. 60. Duke C. 25. Smalls T. 68. Sing D. 27. Berchimas N.
Substitutes
20. Arroyave J. 67. Basse A. 37. Bednarsky S. 42. Elias P. 47. Haxhari K. 75. Meyer W. (G) 68. Tiao C.
44. Bravo J. 80. Filipovic M. 51. Holliday N. (G) 71. Josue 86. Mirkovic F. 39. Neeley J. 97. Nyandjo J. 56. Pena E. 41. Romero B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
9', Berchimas N. (Pen),
16', 0 - 1, Sangoquiza W. ⚽, John A. (A),
17', Mayaka P. 🟨,
21', Jimenez J. 🟨,
32', Sangoquiza W. 🟨,
44', Rozhansky J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Carrizo M. ↓, Arroyave J. ↑,
46', Rozhansky J. ↓, Elias P. ↑,
47', 0 - 2, Sing D. ⚽, Scardina N. (A),
57', Sing D. ↓, Nyandjo J. ↑,
58', 0 - 3, Nyandjo J. ⚽, John A. (A),
62', Hauschild A. ↓, Haxhari K. ↑,
62', Arevalo R. ↓, Bednarsky S. ↑,
64', 1 - 3, Shore J. ⚽, Elias P. (A),
69', Berchimas N. ↓, Josue ↑,
69', Smalls T. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
73', Baiera A. ↓, Tiao C. ↑,
76', Ouedraogo A. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
79', John A. ↓, Mirkovic F. ↑,
79', Scardina N. ↓, Neeley J. ↑,
82', Neeley J. 🟨,
Preview
Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
New York City II is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Crown Legacy is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Crown Legacy could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
New York City II will have a poor advantage in this game.
Last 2 head-to-head matches New York City II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-8.
Including matches at home between the teams New York City II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.