The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Columbus Crew 2 40.7%
Draw 25.2%
New York City II 34.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.1%
23.9%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.7%
23.6%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Columbus Crew 2's form might have worsened.
New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New York City II's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew 2 than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Columbus Crew 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New York City II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Columbus Crew 2 - New York City II Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
54. Pruter L. (G) 45. Presthus O. 37. Aoki R. 63. Di Noto G. 55. Rogers C. 40. Chirinos J. 73. Munoz J. 22. Brown T. 64. Taylor O. 31. Gbamble K. 71. Danjaji J.
31. Learned M. (G) 82. Campos A. 58. Martin E. 57. Suchecki J. 77. Lopez J. 27. Flax C. 71. Molinari P. 44. Sunjic L. 97. Duque D. 83. Ponce J. 79. Danquah C.
Substitutes
51. De Libera G. 62. Ewing I. 84. Forfor P. 36. Heffess I. 41. Lapkes S. (G) 68. Lloyd Z. 29. Mrowka C. 33. Nyeman M. 30. Rincon N.
47. Arroyave J. 56. Bilden J. 95. Daoud R. (G) 40. Kang W. 75. Kerr D. 90. McDermott D. (G) 84. Vafiades N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Gbamble K. ⚽, Munoz J. (A),
21', Aoki R. 🟨,
27', 🟨,
45+5', 1 - 1, Flax C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Danquah C. ↓, Bilden J. ↑,
54', 2 - 1, Presthus O. ⚽,
59', 3 - 1, Presthus O. ⚽,
61', Di Noto G. ↓, Heffess I. ↑,
62', Duque D. ↓, Arroyave J. ↑,
70', Brown T. ↓, Forfor P. ↑,
70', Danjaji J. ↓, Rincon N. ↑,
80', Ponce J. ↓, Vafiades N. ↑,
80', Campos A. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
84', Taylor O. ↓, Ewing I. ↑,
85', Ewing I. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 2, Sunjic L. ⚽, Suchecki J. (A),
90+5', Flax C. ↓, Kang W. ↑,
90+7', 4 - 2, Gbamble K. ⚽, Rogers C. (A),
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
New York City II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Columbus Crew 2 won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 22:22. (average 1.8:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Columbus Crew 2 won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
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Pruter L. (G) 
Aoki R. 
Munoz J. 
Gbamble K. 
Campos A. 
Danquah C. 
Mrowka C. 
Rincon N. 
Daoud R. (G) 
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