The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York Red Bulls 2 31.1%
Draw 25.4%
Hartford Athletic 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.5%
27.1%
36.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.1%
27.6%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York Red Bulls 2's form might have worsened.
Hartford Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hartford Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York Red Bulls 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hartford Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
18.2%
36.4%
45.5%
New York Red Bulls 2 - Hartford Athletic Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. New York Red Bulls 2 will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Hartford will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Hartford: 16.1% – 74.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (58.18%), has project points - 19, has currently - 13, has not chance of playoffs.
Hartford has the most likely position - 10 (42.55%), has project points - 33, has currently - 23, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has very small quality7, very small importance0, very small match rating4. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 1.
New York Red Bulls 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Hartford is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Hartford could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Hartford will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 12 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-24.
Including matches at home between the teams New York Red Bulls 2 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-6.
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