The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hartford Athletic 48.7%
Draw 24.9%
Birmingham Legion 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
24.8%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
24.7%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hartford Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
Birmingham Legion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hartford Athletic than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
77. Siaha A. (G) 15. Diz A. 4. Scarlett J. 25. Fischer B. 6. Makangila B. 2. Anderson S. 8. Moreira J. 16. Coffey B. 19. Samadia E. (C) 9. Williams A. 11. Ngalina M.
1. Koleilat J. (G) 77. Brown N. 27. Washington B. 20. Paterson AJ 11. McCartney D. (C) 18. Antwi S. 10. Shashoua S. 21. Tregarthen S. 16. Vassell P. 19. Diarbian G. 17. Williams R.
Substitutes
1. Carvalho E. (G) 27. Gordon S. 18. Hadjipaschalis C. 5. Njie B. 23. Ordonez A. 22. Presthus T. 3. Real M. 29. Taofeek A.
26. Daley A. 9. Damus R. 3. Kavita P. 12. McMullen T. (G) 81. Ngoma S. 15. Pasher T.
Coaches
Burke B.
Heaps J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Williams R. ⚽, McCartney D. (A),
26', Anderson S. 🟨,
34', Tregarthen S. 🟨,
39', 0 - 2, Williams R. ⚽, Vassell P. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Coffey B. ⚽, Anderson S. (A),
45+3', 2 - 2, Ngalina M. ⚽, Moreira J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Tregarthen S. ↓, Ngoma S. ↑,
46', Paterson AJ ↓, Diop H. ↑,
61', Vassell P. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Williams R. ↓, Damus R. ↑,
70', Coffey B. 🟨,
73', Diarbian G. 🟨,
73', Williams A. ↓, Taofeek A. ↑,
74', 3 - 2, Scarlett J. ⚽, Anderson S. (A),
78', Diarbian G. ↓, Pasher T. ↑,
78', Vassell P. ↓, Daley A. ↑,
82', Coffey B. ↓, Njie B. ↑,
89', Njie B. 🟨,
90+4', Ngalina M. ↓, Presthus T. ↑,
90+6', Ngoma S. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Hartford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Hartford has had a series of away games.
Hartford might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Hartford won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Hartford won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.5:0.5).
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Siaha A. (G) 
Diz A. 
Scarlett J. 
Makangila B. 
Moreira J. 
Coffey B. 
Samadia E. (C) 
Koleilat J. (G) 
Paterson AJ 
Antwi S. 
Shashoua S. 
Tregarthen S. 
Hadjipaschalis C. 
Njie B. 
Ordonez A. 
Taofeek A. 
Daley A. 
Damus R. 
Kavita P. 
Pasher T. 
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