Match Info

Date: 3 August 2022, Wednesday

Location: MSU Soccer Park (New York)

Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)


	New York Red Bulls 2		Memphis 901

	1	X	2
	4.6	4.1	1.53	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.55
	4.6	4	1.53
	5.24	4.34	1.56
	5.2	4.25	1.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.88 ↓ (5.2)	4.12 ↓ (4.24)	1.53 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New York Red Bulls 2
18.6%

Draw
22.1%

Memphis 901
59.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

21.9%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

21.2%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New York Red Bulls 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Memphis 901 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls 2 than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Memphis 901 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

New York Red Bulls 2 - Memphis 901 Predictions

Users Predictions: Memphis 901 will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

New York Red Bulls 2 has the most likely position - 14 (68.27%), has project points - 19, has currently - 9, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Memphis has the most likely position - 4 (28.9%), has project points - 62, has currently - 39, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (58%), has a chance of semis (22%), has a small chance of final (8%), has a very small chance of win league (4%).

This event has very small quality 8, very small importance 2, very small match rating 5. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

New York Red Bulls 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Memphis is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

New York Red Bulls 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Memphis is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches New York Red Bulls 2 won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams New York Red Bulls 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New York Red Bulls 2
USL Championship
31.07.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - New Mexico United	1:2 ✺
23.07.22	Monterey Bay - New York Red Bulls 2	2:0 ✺
15.07.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Indy Eleven	1:0 ✺
09.07.22	Louisville City - New York Red Bulls 2	6:0 ✺
01.07.22	New York Red Bulls 2 - Pittsburgh Riverhounds	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLWLL
- Memphis 901
USL Championship
23.07.22	Indy Eleven - Memphis 901	1:1 ✺
16.07.22	Memphis 901 - Louisville City	1:2 ✺
09.07.22	Memphis 901 - Phoenix Rising	3:1 ✺
02.07.22	Tampa Bay Rowdies - Memphis 901	2:0 ✺
25.06.22	Memphis 901 - Detroit City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
19.09.21	New York Red Bulls 2 - Memphis 901	0:3
20.07.19	Memphis 901 - New York Red Bulls 2	2:2
29.03.19	New York Red Bulls 2 - Memphis 901	3:2

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