Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Darling Street Oval (Newcastle)


	Newcastle Olympic		Lambton Jaffas

	1	X	2
	3	4	1.91	Watch
				Watch
	3.02	4.08	1.94
	3.02	4.4	1.95	Watch
	2.9	3.8	1.95
	3.1	4.14	1.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.56)	4.08 ↑ (3.99)	1.95 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Olympic
30.5%

Draw
22.4%

Lambton Jaffas
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

22.9%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

22.3%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle Olympic's form might have worsened.

Lambton Jaffas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lambton Jaffas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle Olympic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lambton Jaffas than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lambton Jaffas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Olympic won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Newcastle Olympic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lambton Jaffas could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Olympic won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Olympic won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Olympic
Australian NPL Northern NSW
02.05.26	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	1:6 ✺
25.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Edgeworth Eagles	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Broadmeadow Magic	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTLT
- Lambton Jaffas
Australian NPL Northern NSW
02.05.26	Lambton Jaffas - Belmont Swansea United	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Adamstown Rosebud - Lambton Jaffas	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Lambton Jaffas - Cooks Hill United	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Maitland - Lambton Jaffas	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Lambton Jaffas - Weston Bears	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
06.07.25	Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas	3:1
04.04.25	Lambton Jaffas - Newcastle Olympic	0:0
10.07.24	Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas	2:1
22.03.24	Lambton Jaffas - Newcastle Olympic	1:0
13.08.23	Lambton Jaffas - Newcastle Olympic	1:0
13.05.23	Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas	3:2
17.09.22	Lambton Jaffas - Newcastle Olympic	2:0

Newcastle Olympic - Lambton Jaffas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide