Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 10

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Croudace Bay Complex (Lake Macquarie)


	Valentine Phoenix		Newcastle Olympic

	1	X	2
	3.6	4.33	1.62	Watch
	4.23	4.38	1.56
	50.00	15.07	1.00	Watch
	4.6	4	1.53
	4.36	4.25	1.57	Watch
	4.9	4.2	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.95 ↑ (4.9)	6.04 ↑ (4.2)	1.46 ↓ (1.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valentine Phoenix
9%

Draw
17.7%

Newcastle Olympic
73.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

21.3%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

20.4%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valentine Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valentine Phoenix's form might have worsened.

Newcastle Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle Olympic's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valentine Phoenix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle Olympic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, ⚽,
41', 1 - 2, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 3, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 1 - 4, ⚽,
49', 1 - 5, ⚽,
82', 1 - 6, ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 and 8)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Valentine has had a series of away games.

In this match, Newcastle Olympic is considered a favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Valentine won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 16:39. (average 0.8:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valentine won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 3:25. (average 0.3:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.04.26	Charlestown Azzurri - Valentine Phoenix	1:2 ✺
18.04.26	Valentine Phoenix - Adamstown Rosebud	0:3 ✺
12.04.26	Kahibah - Valentine Phoenix	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Lambton Jaffas - Valentine Phoenix	0:1 ✺
20.03.26	Edgeworth Eagles - Valentine Phoenix	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 WLLWL
- Newcastle Olympic
Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Edgeworth Eagles	3:3 ✺
19.04.26	Belmont Swansea United - Newcastle Olympic	2:2 ✺
11.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Broadmeadow Magic	0:2 ✺
01.04.26	Newcastle Olympic - Adamstown Rosebud	2:2 ✺
28.03.26	Cooks Hill United - Newcastle Olympic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
15.06.25	Newcastle Olympic - Valentine Phoenix	2:2
08.03.25	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	1:3
14.07.24	Newcastle Olympic - Valentine Phoenix	0:0
22.05.24	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	0:2
08.07.23	Newcastle Olympic - Valentine Phoenix	2:1
24.05.23	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	0:0
05.07.22	Newcastle Olympic - Valentine Phoenix	1:2

Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide