The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle Olympic 75.6%
Draw 14.4%
New Lambton 10%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.1%
17.9%
17.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
17.1%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Olympic's performance.
New Lambton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and New Lambton might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Olympic than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Olympic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Lambton than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New Lambton could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
85.7%
14.3%
0%
Newcastle Olympic - New Lambton Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - New Lambton (3.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +1.75 - New Lambton (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Newcastle Olympic will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Newcastle Olympic will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Newcastle Olympic (votes: 5 - 71.4%). New Lambton (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
22', 0 - 1, O Connor T. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Thomas Z. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, Furutani K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 2 - 2, Toby N. ⚽,
81', Toby N. 🟥,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Northern NSW (Play Offs: ) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Northern NSW State League).
Newcastle Olympic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
New Lambton is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
New Lambton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Newcastle Olympic has had a series of away games.
Recently, New Lambton has had a series of home games.
In this match, Newcastle Olympic is the clear favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Newcastle Olympic won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:4. (average 3.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle Olympic won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
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