Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 8

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday


	New Lambton		Valentine Phoenix

	1	X	2
	2.7	4.33	1.95
	2.87	4	2
	2.8	4.1	2.02	Watch
	2.84	4.39	2.06	Watch
	2.78	4.1	2.02	Watch
	2.8	4.1	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.43)	4.17 ↓ (4.5)	2.01 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Lambton
32.7%

Draw
21.9%

Valentine Phoenix
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.1%

19.9%

54%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

18%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Lambton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Lambton's performance.

Valentine Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valentine Phoenix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Lambton than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentine Phoenix than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

New Lambton - Valentine Phoenix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Winiarczyk J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
63', 1 - 1, Harrison K. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Harrison K. ⚽,
88', Wholert J. 🟥,
89', 2 - 2, Pettit D. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Northern NSW State League and 10).

New Lambton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Valentine is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

New Lambton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

Valentine will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches New Lambton won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams New Lambton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:5 (average 1:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Lambton FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
09.04.25	Maitland - New Lambton	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	New Lambton - Cooks Hill United	2:4 ✺
23.03.25	New Lambton - Weston Workers Bears	1:5 ✺
07.03.25	New Lambton - Edgeworth Eagles	2:4 ✺
02.03.25	New Lambton - Broadmeadow Magic	3:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLLLL
- Valentine Phoenix
Australian NPL Northern NSW
05.04.25	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	1:5 ✺
30.03.25	Valentine Phoenix - Edgeworth Eagles	1:7 ✺
22.03.25	Cooks Hill United - Valentine Phoenix	0:4 ✺
08.03.25	Valentine Phoenix - Newcastle Olympic	1:3 ✺
01.03.25	Valentine Phoenix - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL Northern NSW
25.05.24	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	2:0
01.03.24	New Lambton - Valentine Phoenix	0:3
24.06.23	Valentine Phoenix - New Lambton	0:0
31.03.23	New Lambton - Valentine Phoenix	2:2

New Lambton - Valentine Phoenix: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide