Match Info

NPL Northern NSW - Round 9

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	New Lambton		Belmont Swansea United

	1	X	2
	3.5	4.75	1.62	Watch
	3.65	4.2	1.7	Watch
	4.17	4.84	1.59
	3.84	4.47	1.72	Watch
	3.65	4.95	1.69	Watch
	3.65	4.2	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.92)	4.57 ↓ (4.75)	1.67 ↓ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Lambton
24.6%

Draw
20.2%

Belmont Swansea United
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

19%

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

17.4%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Lambton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New Lambton's form might have worsened.

Belmont Swansea United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Belmont Swansea United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Lambton than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Lambton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belmont Swansea United than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Belmont Swansea United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

New Lambton - Belmont Swansea United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Belmont Swansea will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Belmont Swansea (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Goora T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
72', 1 - 1, Newton R. (Pen),
86', 1 - 2, Kable J. ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, Donohoe S. ⚽,

Preview

New Lambton has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Belmont Swansea is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently New Lambton have a series of home games.

Belmont Swansea will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Lambton FC
Australian NPL Northern NSW
12.04.25	New Lambton - Valentine Phoenix	2:3 ✺
09.04.25	Maitland - New Lambton	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	New Lambton - Cooks Hill United	2:4 ✺
23.03.25	New Lambton - Weston Workers Bears	1:5 ✺
07.03.25	New Lambton - Edgeworth Eagles	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LTLLL
- Belmont Swansea United
Australian NPL Northern NSW
12.04.25	Lambton Jaffas - Belmont Swansea United	1:1 ✺
08.04.25	Charlestown Azzurri - Belmont Swansea United	2:2 ✺
05.04.25	Belmont Swansea United - Weston Workers Bears	0:3 ✺
22.03.25	Belmont Swansea United - Broadmeadow Magic	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Belmont Swansea United - Cooks Hill United	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TTLLL

New Lambton - Belmont Swansea United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide