Match Info

ENGLAND: PREMIER LEAGUE CUP

Date: 5 December 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Newcastle United U21		Sheffield United U21

	1	X	2
	2.9	4.4	1.85
	3.33	4.4	1.81
	3.2	3.5	1.91
	3.34	3.9	1.84
	3.3	4	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.3)	4.04 ↓ (4.2)	1.85 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United U21
28.3%

Draw
22.5%

Sheffield United U21
49.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

21.3%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

21%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle United U21's form might have worsened.

Sheffield United U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheffield United U21's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheffield United U21 than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheffield United U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Newcastle United U21 - Sheffield United U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Newcastle U21 will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Sheffield United U21 will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sheffield United U21: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Newcastle U21 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sheffield United U21 is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newcastle U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sheffield United U21 have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Newcastle U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United U21
English Premier League Cup
28.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:1 ✺
21.11.22	Newcastle United U21 - Crystal Palace U21	0:1 ✺
14.11.22	Bristol City U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:0 ✺
English Premier League 2
07.11.22	Leeds United U21 - Newcastle United U21	4:2 ✺
31.10.22	Newcastle United U21 - Sunderland U21	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT
- Sheffield United U21
English Premier League Cup
28.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:1 ✺
English Professional Development League
25.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Crewe Alexandra U21	3:0 ✺
English Premier League Cup
21.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Bristol City U21	2:1 ✺
14.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Crystal Palace U21	1:2 ✺
English Professional Development League
04.11.22	Birmingham City U21 - Sheffield United U21	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League Cup
28.11.22	Sheffield United U21 - Newcastle United U21	2:1

Newcastle United U21 - Sheffield United U21