The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Newcastle United U21 45%
Draw 23.2%
Stoke City U21 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.2%
21.2%
23.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.9%
20.2%
22.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle United U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newcastle United U21's form might have worsened.
Stoke City U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stoke City U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United U21 than the current prediction. (+12.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newcastle United U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stoke City U21 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stoke City U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Newcastle United U21 - Stoke City U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Taylor J. (G) 6. Watts L. 5. Heffernan C. (C) 2. Thompson C. 3. Charlton D. 4. Finneran R. 10. Harrison A. 11. Emerson J. 8. Turner-Cooke J. 7. Kuol G. 9. Brayson J.
1. Brooks A. (G) 2. Griffin J. (C) 4. Dixon J. 5. Trialist 3. Gyimah N. 7. Griffiths J. 6. Curley R. 11. Vidigal A. 8. Gromek W. 10. Lipsiuc D. 9. Walker A.
Substitutes
16. Ferreira M. 13. Jones T. (G) 15. Palmer D. 12. Powell R. 14. Stanton E.
14. Chibueze C. 13. Cooper N. (G) 12. Grogan C. 15. Jeffers R. 16. Willox K.
Coaches
O'Carroll D.
Hibbert D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Brayson J. ⚽, Thompson C. (A),
12', Gyimah N. 🟨,
16', 1 - 1, Curley R. ⚽, Vidigal A. (A),
24', Harrison A. 🟨,
24', Vidigal A. 🟨,
36', Dixon J. 🟨,
39', Dixon J. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
56', Turner-Cooke J. 🟨,
57', 2 - 1, Harrison A. ⚽, Kuol G. (A),
64', Kuol G. 🟨,
67', Walker A. ↓, Chibueze C. ↑,
67', Trialist ↓, Grogan C. ↑,
70', Emerson J. ↓, Palmer D. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Brayson J. ⚽,
79', Kuol G. ↓, Ferreira M. ↑,
80', 4 - 1, Harrison A. ⚽,
82', Turner-Cooke J. ↓, Stanton E. ↑,
82', Thompson C. ↓, Powell R. ↑,
90+3', Vidigal A. ↓, Jeffers R. ↑,
Preview
In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 26).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle U21 won 1.
Newcastle U21 has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Stoke U21 is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Newcastle U21 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Newcastle U21 will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Newcastle U21 won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10:15 (average 1.3:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle U21 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:8 (average 1:2).
Watch
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Taylor J. (G) 
Heffernan C. (C) 
Charlton D. 
Emerson J. 
Kuol G. 
Trialist 
Vidigal A. 
Gromek W. 
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