The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Accrington Stanley 42%
Draw 23.9%
Sunderland U21 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.8%
20.3%
19.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
60.4%
20.5%
19.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Accrington Stanley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Accrington Stanley's form might have worsened.
Sunderland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sunderland U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Accrington Stanley than the current prediction. (+18.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Accrington Stanley, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland U21 than the current prediction. (-14.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Accrington Stanley - Sunderland U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Accrington will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
21. Rogerson J. (G) 3. Smith O. 17. Matthews D. (C) 25. Smith J. 38. O'Brien C. 30. Warren C. 16. Borland A. 20. Brown C. 27. Catesby J. 13. Stockton C. 10. Henderson A.
60. Cowan J. (G) 48. Jones J. 43. Bell L. (C) 42. Alese A. 59. Lightfoot A. 40. Whittaker J. 52. Jones J. 49. Scott F. 77. Proctor T. 57. Tuterov T. 47. Samuel-Ogunsuyi T.
Substitutes
22. Anderson J. 28. Conneely S. 2. Love D. 14. Mols S. 1. Moulden L. (G) 23. Walton T. 39. Woods J.
38. Dinsdale C. 58. Kindon B. 63. Lienard A. 44. Metcalf B. (G) 70. Munyakazi K. 55. Neill M. 75. Scorer C.
Coaches
Doolan J.
Craddock M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
11', 0 - 1, Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ⚽, Tuterov T. (A),
15', Jones J. 🟨,
26', 1 - 1, Warren C. ⚽,
39', 1 - 2, Proctor T. ⚽, Jones J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Smith O. ↓, Love D. ↑,
46', Henderson A. ↓, Woods J. ↑,
51', 2 - 2, Stockton C. ⚽, Matthews D. (A),
61', 2 - 3, Tuterov T. ⚽, Alese A. (A),
62', Warren C. ↓, Walton T. ↑,
63', Brown C. ↓, Mols S. ↑,
63', Scott F. ↓, Dinsdale C. ↑,
73', Stockton C. ↓, Conneely S. ↑,
79', Bell L. ↓, Lienard A. ↑,
88', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. 🟨,
90+1', Samuel-Ogunsuyi T. ↓, Scorer C. ↑,
90+1', Jones J. ↓, Munyakazi K. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 3, Mols S. ⚽, Woods J. (A),
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, Proctor T. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Mols S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Whittaker J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Woods J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Tuterov T. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Walton T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Lightfoot A. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Accrington has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Sunderland U21 shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Accrington may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Sunderland U21 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Accrington for this game.
No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.