Match Info

Date: 25 April 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Newcastle Utd U23		Southampton U23

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.6	2.55
	2.2	4.2	2.4
	2.44	3.75	2.2
	2.49	3.63	2.42
	2.53	3.86	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.2)	3.81 ↓ (3.97)	2.38 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Utd U23
38.2%

Draw
23.8%

Southampton U23
38%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.7%

22.5%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

22.7%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Utd U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Southampton U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Utd U23 than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton U23 than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	11.1%	44.4%

Newcastle Utd U23 - Southampton U23 Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Newcastle U23 will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). S`hampton U23 will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle U23: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle U23 won 0.

Newcastle U23 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches S`hampton U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

S`hampton U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Newcastle U23 have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Newcastle U23 won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle U23 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United U23
English Premier League 2
18.04.22	Wolverhampton U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	4:2 ✺
08.04.22	Burnley U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	5:1 ✺
01.04.22	Middlesbrough U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	4:2 ✺
28.03.22	Newcastle Utd U23 - West Bromwich Albion U23	4:3 ✺
21.03.22	Stoke City U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Southampton U23
English Premier League 2
02.04.22	Burnley U23 - Southampton U23	2:1 ✺
25.03.22	Southampton U23 - Wolverhampton U23	2:4 ✺
20.03.22	Southampton U23 - Reading U23	2:1 ✺
11.03.22	Aston Villa U23 - Southampton U23	2:2 ✺
26.02.22	Southampton U23 - Nottingham Forest U23	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League 2
05.11.21	Southampton U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	5:0
13.05.19	Southampton U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	2:1
English Premier League Cup
08.02.19	Newcastle Utd U23 - Southampton U23	3:0
English Premier League 2
14.12.18	Southampton U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	2:1
English Premier League Cup
09.11.18	Southampton U23 - Newcastle Utd U23	1:1
English Premier League 2
14.09.18	Newcastle Utd U23 - Southampton U23	0:1
19.02.18	Newcastle Utd U23 - Southampton U23	1:5

Newcastle Utd U23 - Southampton U23