Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 12 May 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Newells Old Boys 2		Quilmes 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.48	2.92	2.72
	2.44	2.9	2.73
	2.51	3.09	2.75	Watch
	2	3.2	3.4
	2.46	3.08	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (1.92)	3.04 ↓ (3.44)	2.86 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newells Old Boys 2
38.3%

Draw
29.9%

Quilmes 2
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

26.7%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

26.9%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newells Old Boys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newells Old Boys 2's form might have worsened.

Quilmes 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Quilmes 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newells Old Boys 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes 2 than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Quilmes 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newells Old Boys 2 - Quilmes 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Newells Old Boys 2 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Quilmes 2 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Newells Old Boys 2 could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
07.05.26	Estudiantes La Plata 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:2 ✺
28.04.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Central Córdoba 2	1:0 ✺
21.04.26	Rosario Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:3 ✺
14.04.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTLW
- Quilmes 2
Argentinian Reserve League
05.05.26	Quilmes 2 - Defensa y Justicia 2	2:1 ✺
30.04.26	Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2 - Quilmes 2	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Quilmes 2 - Aldosivi 2	2:0 ✺
15.04.26	Quilmes 2 - Huracán Buenos Aires 2	0:0 ✺
07.04.26	Ferro 2 - Quilmes 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WWWTW

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