Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 21 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3, LPF Play


	Rosario Central 2		Newells Old Boys 2

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.65
	1.92	3.3	4.03
	1.91	3.32	3.83	Watch
	1.85	3	3.75
	1.96	3.34	3.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.93)	3.23 ↓ (3.28)	3.82 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rosario Central 2
47.9%

Draw
28.3%

Newells Old Boys 2
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

28%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

27%

23.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rosario Central 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Newells Old Boys 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central 2 than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys 2 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Rosario Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
47', 1 - 2, ⚽,
67', 2 - 2, ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosario Central 2 won 2.

Rosario Central 2 is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Newells Old Boys 2 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rosario Central 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Rosario Central 2 won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Rosario Central 2 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rosario Central 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.04.26	Rosario Central 2 - Atlético Tucumán 2	2:1 ✺
07.04.26	Godoy Cruz 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:3 ✺
02.04.26	Rosario Central 2 - Gimnasia Mendoza 2	1:0 ✺
25.03.26	Barracas Central 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:3 ✺
17.03.26	Rosario Central 2 - Talleres de Córdoba 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL
- Newells Old Boys 2
Argentinian Reserve League
14.04.26	San Martín de San Juan 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:1 ✺
08.04.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Independiente Rivadavia 2	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Deportivo Riestra 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Newells Old Boys 2 - Belgrano 2	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Lanús 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
05.09.25	Rosario Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	3:0
27.03.25	Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:0
07.09.24	Rosario Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	0:0
03.04.24	Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2	0:2
09.10.23	Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2	1:1
07.04.23	Rosario Central 2 - Newells Old Boys 2	2:2
18.07.22	Newells Old Boys 2 - Rosario Central 2	2:1

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