Match Info

NIFL Championship - Promotion Group - Round 37

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Newington		Harland & Wolff Welders

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.75	2.08
	2.75	3.89	2.03
	2.84	3.84	2.11	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.05
	2.8	3.66	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↓ (2.92)	3.71 ↓ (3.88)	2.08 ↑ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newington
32.1%

Draw
24.4%

Harland & Wolff Welders
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

23.7%

44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

22.1%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newington has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Harland & Wolff Welders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harland & Wolff Welders than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Newington - Harland & Wolff Welders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 4)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newington won 2.

Newington has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

H&W Welders has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

H&W Welders may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

H&W Welders will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Newington won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Newington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newington	10	6	2	2	24:18	6	20
6	H&W Welders	10	5	0	5	18:16	2	15

Last Results with these Odds

Harland & Wolff Welders - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.71%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
11.04.26	Newington - Limavady United	1:5 ✺
04.04.26	Queens University Belfast - Newington	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Newington - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Newington - Limavady United	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Newington	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWWLW
- Harland & Wolff Welders
Northern Irish Championship
11.04.26	Loughgall - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Limavady United - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Queens University Belfast	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Limavady United	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Ballinamallard United - Harland & Wolff Welders	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
31.01.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	2:1
01.11.25	Newington - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:1
23.08.25	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	3:2
22.03.25	Newington - Harland & Wolff Welders	2:0
14.12.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	1:0
27.01.24	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	3:1
22.12.23	Harland & Wolff Welders - Newington	2:2

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