Match Info

NIFL Championship - Promotion Group - Round 36

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Newington		Limavady United

	1	X	2
	3.85	3.85	1.75
	3.64	4.04	1.69
	3.68	4.3	1.72	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.73
	3.76	3.94	1.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.23)	3.95 ↑ (3.76)	1.72 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Newington
24.3%

Draw
23%

Limavady United
52.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

24.4%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

23.3%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Limavady United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Limavady United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Limavady United than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Newington - Limavady United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newington won 1.

Newington is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Limavady is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Limavady may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Limavady has had a series of away games.

Limavady might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Newington won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Newington won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newington	10	6	2	2	24:18	6	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
04.04.26	Queens University Belfast - Newington	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Newington - Ballinamallard United	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Newington - Limavady United	1:4 ✺
10.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Newington	2:4 ✺
28.02.26	Newington - Queens University Belfast	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLWW
- Limavady United
Northern Irish Championship
03.04.26	Limavady United - Harland & Wolff Welders	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Loughgall - Limavady United	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Harland & Wolff Welders - Limavady United	1:4 ✺
14.03.26	Newington - Limavady United	1:4 ✺
11.03.26	Queens University Belfast - Limavady United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
14.03.26	Newington - Limavady United	1:4
08.11.25	Limavady United - Newington	3:2
Northern Irish League Cup
07.10.25	Newington - Limavady United	3:1
Northern Irish Championship
13.09.25	Limavady United - Newington	0:0
01.03.25	Newington - Limavady United	1:2
30.11.24	Limavady United - Newington	4:1
14.09.24	Newington - Limavady United	0:0

Upcoming Matches