Match Info

NIFL Championship - Round 19

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Milltown (Warrenpoint)


	Warrenpoint Town		Newington

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.7	2.6
	2.98	3.75	2.08
	2.49	3.81	2.27
	2.6	3.88	2.25	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.3
	2.52	3.65	2.26
	2.16	3.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (2.67)	3.71 ↓ (3.91)	2.34 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Warrenpoint Town
36.7%

Draw
24.5%

Newington
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

23.8%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

23.1%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Warrenpoint Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Newington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Warrenpoint Town than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newington than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Warrenpoint Town - Newington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 3)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone NIFL Championship (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NIFL Championship (Promotion Group: )).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Warrenpoint Town won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Warrenpoint Town won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Newington	10	6	2	2	24:18	6	20
8	Warrenpoint	10	4	2	4	18:15	3	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Warrenpoint Town
Northern Irish Championship
07.03.26	Warrenpoint Town - Institute FC	1:2 ✺
03.03.26	Annagh United - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Loughgall - Warrenpoint Town	1:0 ✺
24.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Ballinamallard United	1:0 ✺
21.02.26	Warrenpoint Town - Dundela	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWW
- Newington FC
Northern Irish Championship
28.02.26	Newington - Queens University Belfast	2:0 ✺
24.02.26	Loughgall - Newington	2:1 ✺
21.02.26	Armagh City - Newington	1:2 ✺
14.02.26	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	4:0 ✺
07.02.26	Newington - Dundela	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Northern Irish Championship
14.02.26	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	4:0
27.09.25	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	3:0
28.01.23	Warrenpoint Town - Newington	2:0
11.01.23	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	1:4
03.12.22	Newington - Warrenpoint Town	0:1
Northern Irish League Cup
13.09.22	Warrenpoint Town - Newington	1:0

Warrenpoint Town - Newington: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide