Match Info

Cymru North - Round 19

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Latham Park (Newtown)


	Newtown		Llandudno

	1	X	2
	7.3	5.15	1.28
	6.83	5.52	1.3
	8.1	5.04	1.34	Watch
	3.8	4	1.62
	8.6	5.4	1.25
	3.75	3.8	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.4 ↑ (4.44)	4.82 ↑ (4)	1.4 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newtown
14.5%

Draw
19.2%

Llandudno
66.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.6%

22.9%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.9%

22.1%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newtown's form might have worsened.

Llandudno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llandudno's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newtown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llandudno than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llandudno, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newtown - Llandudno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Bennett H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 0 - 2, Maher B. ⚽,
75', 1 - 2, Hyne J. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newtown won 2.

Recent form of Newtown has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Llandudno's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Llandudno is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Newtown won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Newtown won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:16. (average 1.8:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Newtown	9	7	1	1	18:3	15	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
08.04.26	Holywell Town - Newtown	6:0 ✺
03.04.26	Newtown - Mold Alexandra	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Holyhead Hotspur - Newtown	2:0 ✺
24.03.26	Newtown - Rhyl	6:1 ✺
20.03.26	Newtown - Buckley Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Llandudno FC
Welsh Cymru North
06.04.26	Llandudno - Guilsfield	4:1 ✺
03.04.26	Llandudno - Ruthin Town	5:2 ✺
28.03.26	Caersws - Llandudno	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Guilsfield - Llandudno	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Llandudno - Holywell Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh League Cup
04.11.25	Newtown - Llandudno	3:6
Welsh Cymru North
06.09.25	Llandudno - Newtown	2:0
Welsh Cymru Premier
15.12.18	Newtown - Llandudno	3:1
25.08.18	Llandudno - Newtown	0:0
24.03.18	Newtown - Llandudno	3:2
Welsh FA Cup
06.03.18	Llandudno - Newtown	0:2
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.02.18	Llandudno - Newtown	3:4

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