Match Info

Cymru North - Round 21

Date: 24 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Latham Park (Newtown)


	Newtown		Rhyl

	1	X	2
	2.12	3.5	2.82
	2.03	3.79	2.89
	2.1	3.7	3.09	Watch
	2.05	3.4	2.8
	2.06	3.78	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.88)	3.63 ↓ (3.93)	2.89 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newtown
43.7%

Draw
24.9%

Rhyl
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

23.8%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

23.5%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newtown has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Newtown's form might have worsened.

Rhyl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newtown than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Newtown, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rhyl than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rhyl, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Newtown - Rhyl Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Hyne J. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Hyne J. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Jacobs L. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
50', 4 - 0, Jones T. ⚽,
52', 5 - 0, Hyne J. ⚽,
57', 6 - 0, Hyne J. ⚽,
90+1', 6 - 1, Murray M. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newtown won 4.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Newtown may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Newtown is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Newtown won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:16. (average 2.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Newtown won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Newtown	9	7	1	1	18:3	15	22
11	Rhyl	9	2	3	4	17:19	-2	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newtown AFC
Welsh Cymru North
20.03.26	Newtown - Buckley Town	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Brickfield Rangers - Newtown	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Newtown - Gresford Athletic	0:5 ✺
27.02.26	Flint Mountain - Newtown	0:1 ✺
20.02.26	Newtown - Guilsfield	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLWW
- CPD Y Rhyl 1879
Welsh Cymru North
21.03.26	Caersws - Rhyl	1:0 ✺
17.03.26	Brickfield Rangers - Rhyl	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Flint Mountain - Rhyl	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
08.03.26	Rhyl - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru North
01.03.26	Rhyl - Ruthin Town	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru North
13.09.25	Rhyl - Newtown	2:5
Welsh FA Cup
08.12.18	Newtown - Rhyl	1:2
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.03.17	Rhyl - Newtown	0:2
11.02.17	Newtown - Rhyl	3:2
10.12.16	Rhyl - Newtown	1:3
17.09.16	Newtown - Rhyl	3:3
21.11.15	Rhyl - Newtown	1:1

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