Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Round 20

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Neza		Montañeses

	1	X	2
	3.8	4.22	1.7	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.75
	3.64	3.92	1.75
	3.4	3.8	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.64 ↑ (3.4)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neza
24.9%

Draw
23.2%

Montañeses
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

23.5%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

22.7%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Montañeses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neza than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montañeses than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Neza - Montañeses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
63', 0 - 3, ⚽,
68', 0 - 4, ⚽,
90+1', 0 - 5, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 and 7).

Neza is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Montañeses is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Montañeses may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Montañeses will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Neza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neza FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
14.02.26	Inter Playa Del Carmen - Neza	4:0 ✺
31.01.26	Celaya - Neza	6:0 ✺
25.01.26	Neza - Chapulineros de Oaxaca	3:2 ✺
17.01.26	Racing de Veracruz - Neza	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Neza - Tapachula Soconusco	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Montañeses FC
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
15.02.26	Montañeses - Dragones Toluca	2:0 ✺
06.02.26	Cañoneros Marina - Montañeses	0:0 ✺
01.02.26	Montañeses - Pioneros de Cancún	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Jaguares de Chiapas - Montañeses	3:4 penalties ✺
11.01.26	Montañeses - Inter Playa Del Carmen	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
05.10.25	Montañeses - Neza	2:4

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