Match Info

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 1

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Godswill Akpabio International Stadium (Uyo) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 1
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	02:00	beIN Connect
Canada	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
France	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MAX 6
Hong Kong	00:00	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
Indonesia	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio
Laos	23:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	00:00	beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
New Zealand	04:00	beIN Connect
Philippines	00:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	00:00	beIN Sport 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Thailand	23:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX
Usa	12:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports


	Nigeria		Madagascar

	1	X	2
	1.15	6.50	14.50
	1.17	5.25	22
	1.16	7.64	17.86
	1.19	6.1	15	Watch
	1.15	6.65	17
	1.16	6.66	18.1	Watch
	1.12	6	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.26)	6.4 ↑ (4.85)	17.21 ↑ (10.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nigeria
80.1%

Draw
14.5%

Madagascar
5.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

72.7%

18.8%

8.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nigeria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nigeria's performance.

Madagascar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nigeria - Madagascar Predictions

Users Predictions: Nigeria will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Nwabali S. (G) Chippa Utd. 2. Aina O. Nottingham 6. Ajayi S. Hull City 21. Bassey C. Fulham 3. Onyemaechi B. Olympiacos Piraeus 11. Chukwueze S. AC Milan 4. Ndidi W. (C) Besiktas 17. Iwobi A. Fulham 7. Lookman A. Atl. Madrid 9. Ilenikhena G. Al Ittihad 22. Adams A. Venezia	1. Dupire G. (G) Bissen 22. Acapandie M. Hajduk Split 15. Kari E. Virton 5. Tremoulet S. Karlsruher 3. Jean-Pierre M. Fleury-Merogis 14. Couturier C. Mondorf 6. Ilaimaharitra M. St. Liege 11. Ponti R. Rodez 7. Raveloson R. (C) Amedspor 10. Raheriniaina E. H. Nancy 19. Abdallah H. FC UTA Arad
Substitutes
10. Arokodare T. Ajax 19. Awoniyi T. Coventry 18. Fernandez E. Rangers 14. James I. Alverca 13. Nwaiwu C. Trabzonspor 16. Okonkwo A. (G) Charlton 1. Okoye M. (G) Udinese 20. Onyedika R. Eintracht Frankfurt 8. Onyeka F. Coventry 12. Osayi-Samuel B. Birmingham 15. Simon M. Paris FC 24. Usor M. LASK Linz	9. Caddy W. Randers FC 18. Ferber R. Bissen 13. Fontaine N. Septemvri Sofia 21. Fontaine T. GOAL FC 23. Laiton S. (G) 17. Lapoussin L. Guangxi Hengchen 12. Rabearivelo B. 2. Rabemananjara R. 16. Rakotohasimbola R. (G) Fosa Juniors 4. Randriamanampsioa N. Disciples 20. Randrianantenaina A. Gloria Bistrita 8. Tsirava B. Monastir
Coaches
Chelle E.	Martins C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Kari E. ⚽, Ponti R. (A),
36', Dupire G. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Ilenikhena G. ⚽, Iwobi A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Lookman A. 🟨,
61', Chukwueze S. ↓, Usor M. ↑,
61', Adams A. ↓, Simon M. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Usor M. ⚽, Ajayi S. (A),
67', Raheriniaina E. H. ↓, Caddy W. ↑,
69', Ilenikhena G. ↓, Awoniyi T. ↑,
69', Lookman A. ↓, Arokodare T. ↑,
70', Couturier C. ↓, Randriamanampsioa N. ↑,
70', Ponti R. ↓, Fontaine N. ↑,
84', Ilaimaharitra M. ↓, Lapoussin L. ↑,
84', Abdallah H. ↓, Ferber R. ↑,
87', Aina O. ↓, Osayi-Samuel B. ↑,
90+3', Fontaine N. 🟨,

Preview

Nigeria is ranked FIFA: 26., and Madagascar is ranked FIFA: 104..

Nigeria holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Nigeria has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nigeria
Friendly
10.06.26	Portugal - Nigeria	2:1 ✺
03.06.26	Poland - Nigeria	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Jamaica - Nigeria	0:3 ✺
26.05.26	Nigeria - Zimbabwe	2:0 ✺
31.03.26	Jordan - Nigeria	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTWWT
- Madagascar
Friendly
02.06.26	Morocco - Madagascar	4:0 ✺
31.03.26	Equatorial Guinea - Madagascar	1:1 ✺
28.03.26	Kyrgyzstan - Madagascar	2:5 ✺
FIFA World Cup
12.10.25	Mali - Madagascar	4:1 ✺
08.10.25	Comoros - Madagascar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
30.06.19	Madagascar - Nigeria	2:0

Nigeria - Madagascar