The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ningbo Professional 34.5%
Draw 31.6%
Suzhou Dongwu 33.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.9%
28.8%
29.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.1%
29.6%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ningbo Professional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ningbo Professional's form might have worsened.
Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ningbo Professional than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ningbo Professional, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Suzhou Dongwu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ningbo Professional - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Lin Xiang (G) 5. Yao Diran 23. Bai Jiajun 30. Liu Yang 11. Liu Yue 28. Zhang Lingfeng 19. Gao Haisheng 17. Zhou Junchen 45. Tomovic S. 10. Leonardo (C) 42. Yao J.
37. Askhan (G) 18. Tai Jianfeng 33. Liu Jiqiang 15. Jin Qiang 20. Chen Rong 42. Arafat Ghenifa 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 7. Farley Rosa 14. Bugiel O. 19. Wu Junjie
Substitutes
38. Chen X. (G) 8. Leo Cittadini 21. Lin Wenkai 34. Li Z. 9. Men Yang 7. Pang K. 25. Qu Geping 2. Shang K. 22. Wang Qinghua (G) 41. Xiao Y. 36. Zhou Junhao 4. Zou Y.
9. Ali M. 30. He Haohan 27. Lei Zhibo (G) 1. Liu Yu (G) 45. Mijit M. 2. Song Bowei 39. Tian Jiahao 26. Wang B. 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 25. Yu Z. 24. Zhang Jiansheng
Coaches
Weifeng L.
Guo H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Arafat Ghenifa ⚽, Farley Rosa (A),
36', Liu Yue ↓, Shang K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Yao J. ↓, Pang K. ↑,
53', Wu Junjie ↓, Ali M. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Yao Diran ⚽, Liu Yang (A),
70', Bugiel O. 🟨,
70', Bai Jiajun 🟨,
71', Yao Diran 🟨,
74', Liu Jiqiang ↓, Mijit M. ↑,
74', Tomovic S. ↓, Leo Cittadini ↑,
74', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Wang B. ↑,
75', Zhou Junchen ↓, Lin Wenkai ↑,
79', Chen Rong ↓, Yu Z. ↑,
79', Bugiel O. ↓, Zhang Jiansheng ↑,
79', Bai Jiajun ↓, Zhou Junhao ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 10th and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ningbo Professional won 1.
Ningbo Professional is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Suzhou Dongwu shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Ningbo Professional has recorded 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:14 (averaging 0.8:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ningbo Professional against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:6 goals (averaging 0.5:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Ningbo Professional
28
9
7
12
30:35
-5
31
12
Suzhou Dongwu
28
7
12
9
32:37
-5
30
Last Results with these Odds
Suzhou Dongwu - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 29.3%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.