Match Info

League One - Round 23

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Suzhou Dongwu		Foshan Nanshi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.75	5.25
	1.6	3.65	4.4
	1.73	3.86	4.66
	1.55	4.21	5.3	Watch
	1.7	3.65	4.6
	1.74	3.95	4.16	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.7)	3.84 ↑ (3.6)	4.7 ↑ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
56.3%

Draw
24%

Foshan Nanshi
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

25.3%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

24%

20.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Foshan Nanshi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

The ML Model estimate for Suzhou Dongwu aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Foshan Nanshi than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Suzhou Dongwu - Foshan Nanshi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liu Yu (G) 24. Zhang Jiansheng 45. Mijit M. 15. Jin Qiang 8. Gao D. 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 42. Arafat Ghenifa 7. Farley Rosa 9. Ali M. 26. Wang B.	26. Ge Yifan (G) 30. Huang Chuqi 2. Qian Yumiao 32. Yu G. 19. Liu H. 3. Jiang W. 24. Deletic M. 29. Xu Yue 13. Zhang Xingbo (C) 44. Antwi R. 11. Ndiaye M.
Substitutes
37. Askhan (G) 20. Chen Rong 27. Lei Zhibo (G) 33. Liu Jiqiang 2. Song Bowei 21. Song Pan 18. Tai Jianfeng 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie 36. Yuan J. 25. Yu Z.	25. Aniwar Abduwahap 22. Jiang Z. 5. Jin Liangkuan 12. Liu Zongyuan 7. Mu Zihan 33. Qin Haoqing (G) 37. Shi Liang 31. Yao Hui 28. Yin B. 38. Zhang Zebin 10. Zhong Ziqin
Coaches
Guo H.	Jiang H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Estrela 🟨,
21', 1 - 0, Ali M. ⚽,
45', Huang Chuqi ↓, Zhong Ziqin ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Deletic M. ↓, Aniwar Abduwahap ↑,
51', Yu G. 🟨,
54', Yu G. ↓, Liu Zongyuan ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Ali M. ⚽, Farley Rosa (A),
70', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
70', Wang B. ↓, Wang Jiancong ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Antwi R. ⚽,
77', 2 - 2, Ndiaye M. ⚽, Liu Zongyuan (A),
79', Zhang Jiansheng ↓, Tai Jianfeng ↑,
79', Jiang W. ↓, Yin B. ↑,
80', Xu Yue ↓, Mu Zihan ↑,
85', Ge Yifan 🟨,
90+3', Antwi R. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 2, Tai Jianfeng ⚽, Wu Junjie (A),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Suzhou Dongwu is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Foshan Nanshi is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Suzhou Dongwu is a strong favorite.

We predict that Suzhou Dongwu will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27
16	Foshan Nanshi	25	3	7	15	25:49	-24	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
06.09.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Nanjing City	2:0 ✺
29.08.26	Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu	3:4 ✺
22.08.26	Guangxi Hengchen - Suzhou Dongwu	3:3 ✺
16.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Changchun Yatai	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.5 WWTTW
- Foshan Nanshi
Chinese Jia League
05.09.26	Foshan Nanshi - Dalian Kun City	0:0 ✺
29.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shenzhen Juniors	1:2 ✺
23.08.26	Changchun Yatai - Foshan Nanshi	6:0 ✺
16.08.26	Foshan Nanshi - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	Meizhou Hakka - Foshan Nanshi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
10.05.26	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1
19.07.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Foshan Nanshi	0:1
30.03.25	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	0:2
17.08.24	Foshan Nanshi - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1
31.03.24	Suzhou Dongwu - Foshan Nanshi	3:0

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